Thoughts on the McConnell era ending

[MABA 2020]

Overjoyed, but the McConnell era may only be on a two year break, I haven't checked the 2022 map so not sure how likely it is that dems can hold the Senate

There's a lot that could go wrong, but there's probably about as many good pickup opportunities for the Democrats as there are for the Republicans. NH, NV, GA, AZ are vulnerable on the Democratic side, but NC and PA are open seats Democrats stand a good chance of picking up, and Ron Johnson is vulnerable. Marco Rubio could also be vulnerable if FL dems get their sh*t together, and who knows what's going to happen in Alaska with their new top 4 primary then IRV system.

Yeah looking at the map it doesn't look too bad actually, maybe I should be more optimistic

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Overjoyed, but the McConnell era may only be on a two year break, I haven't checked the 2022 map so not sure how likely it is that dems can hold the Senate

There's a lot that could go wrong, but there's probably about as many good pickup opportunities for the Democrats as there are for the Republicans. NH, NV, GA, AZ are vulnerable on the Democratic side, but NC and PA are open seats Democrats stand a good chance of picking up, and Ron Johnson is vulnerable. Marco Rubio could also be vulnerable if FL dems get their sh*t together, and who knows what's going to happen in Alaska with their new top 4 primary then IRV system.

Yeah looking at the map it doesn't look too bad actually, maybe I should be more optimistic

AZ/NH/GA are competitive and Democrat held, PA/NC/WI are competitive and Republican held.

[Sir Mohamed]

Will he even stay on as Minority Leader or retire from leadership. If Grassley retires and Republicans take the senate back, he would actually be president pro-tem.

Asked this myself, but I think he will stay on for at least another 2 years, hoping to reclaim the majority.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MCCONNELL isn't gonna reclaim the majority in 2022, Ron Johnson and the PA seat and NC are vulnerable

[President Johnson]

MCCONNELL isn't gonna reclaim the majority in 2022, Ron Johnson and the PA seat and NC are vulnerable

So are Warnock, Kelly and Hassan, potentially CCM. But I agree, Democrats have a real shot at keeping the majority or even expanding a seat or two.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MCCONNELL isn't gonna reclaim the majority in 2022, Ron Johnson and the PA seat and NC are vulnerable

So are Warnock, Kelly and Hassan, potentially CCM. But I agree, Democrats have a real shot at keeping the majority or even expanding a seat or two.

Our members are young like Ossoff, whom is only 33, the GOP are old and Collins , she is old too, she only won in an upset

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

The McConnell era isn't quite over yet.

Assuming he's able to remain Minority Leader (not a given), Republicans should win back the Senate in 2022.

"It's actually a bad thing for Biden/Ossoff/Warnock to win this year".

Democrats just hate happiness, don't they?

Did I say it was a bad thing for Biden/Ossoff/Warnock to win? The reality is, Republicans were likely to gain seats in 2022 if Biden won. However, that's a fair trade for two years of a trifecta, and if we do well in 2024 (either with Harris or Biden atop the ballot), we probably win the Senate back.

If Biden or Harris lose in 2024, we probably pick up both the House and Senate in 2026, too.

As a pessimistic take, with a Democratic presidential win in 2024 (especially a narrow one) they could still lose several Senate seats. I don't necessarily agree with it, it's very far out. However, this may be the last Democratic Senate in a while. They better make the most of it then.

Puerto Rican and DC statehood should create a buffer, assuming that the Democrats are smart enough to make both of them priorities. (And a silver lining of yesterday's events is that the disorganized and ineffective defense response should provide some additional justification for DC statehood.)

[Ogre Mage]

State and local governments are desperately in need of federal financial aid and now we will probably get it.  President-elect Biden should get someone working on federal judicial appointments.  We may only have a two-year window for this and the appointments are for life.

Senate Majority Leader Schumer take note -- there is a reason why McConnell was so focused on this issue.