Rate ME-02 for 2022

[VAR]

This district probably won't change much.

[SnowLabrador]

Lean R.

[Squidward500]

Lean R if republicans get s half decent recruit. Could Golden pull a JvD? If he does, Safe R

[Frenchrepublican]

Golden is certainly extremely vulnerable as he represents the Trumpist district in the country which is still held by a democrat (assuming NY-22 flip), but you should not write him-off too early as he is a pretty skilled politician.

Tossup tilt R

[Frenchrepublican]

Lean R if republicans get s half decent recruit. Could Golden pull a JvD? If he does, Safe R

It's very unlikely

[KaiserDave]

Lean R if republicans get s half decent recruit. Could Golden pull a JvD? If he does, Safe R

Golden is not a moderate, nor does he really claim to be.

[Gracile]

Lean R for now. Maybe Golden can outperform the fundamentals of his district again, but he'll be facing stronger headwinds in 2022 (more Republican year nationally, a district that likely won't change much in terms of partisanship, possibly a stronger opponent, etc.) that he didn't in 2020.

[MT Treasurer]

Lean R, easily he most vulnerable New England Democrat (and in the top five of most vulnerable D congressmen in 2022). I honestly think he’s as overrated as Comstock and Coffman were in 2016/2017 -- he won against an awful R opponent who was triaged by the national party in a fairly incumbent-friendly district which will be ground zero for any Republican wave/ripple, he’s extremely vulnerable and pretty close to DOA if Democrats win a trifecta.

[Xing]

Lean R for now, though he's definitely not DOA, especially if Republicans can't get a good candidate.

[GALeftist]

Unbeatable Titan

[Progressive Pessimist]

Tossup/tilt R. I would have said lean R, but I don't want to underestimate Golden again. He might have some kind of magnetism in this district that we just can't understand.