Opinion Poll predictions

[afleitch]

How do you picture the 'average' of opinion polls, one, two, three and so on months from now?

Heres my prediction:

Early Jun  BUSH 45% KERRY 44% NADER 6%
Late Jun BUSH 47% KERRY 45% NADER 5%
Early Jul BUSH 43% KERRY 46% NADER 5%
Late Jul BUSH 44% KERRY 48% NADER 4%
Early Aug BUSH 45% KERRY 47% NADER 3%
Late Aug BUSH 46% KERRY 48% NADER 3%
Early Sep BUSH 47% KERRY 47% NADER 4%
Late Sep BUSH 47% KERRY 49% NADER 2%
Early Oct BUSH 46% KERRY 50% NADER 3%
Late Oct BUSH 45% KERRY 50% NADER 2%

Of course...they don't all add up to 100%

[zachman]

You're predicting predictions!

[Blazers93]

Yeah, Vote Kerry! Here is my poll predictions
June: Kerry: 49%, Bush: 45%, Nader: 4%
July: Kerry: 50%, Bush: 43%, Nader: 4%
August: Kerry: 57%, Bush: 39%, Nader: 3%
September: Kerry: 49%, Bush: 47%, Nader: Drops Out
October: Kerry: 55%, Bush: 43%
November Result: Kerry: 53%, Bush: 44%
In August, Kerry will go way up after picking his running mate. In September, 9/11 will give Bush a boost. In October, Kerry will go back up again. November is similar to October.