FL SD-03 - St. Pete Polls: Biden +9
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  FL SD-03 - St. Pete Polls: Biden +9		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: FL SD-03 - St. Pete Polls: Biden +9  (Read 607 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 27, 2020, 12:03:03 PM »
948 LV

Biden 53%
Trump 44%
Undecided 2%
Other 1%

53-44 Clinton in 2016.

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/377506-poll-loranne-ausley-holds-advantage-over-marva-preston
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 12:04:09 PM »
This is the terrain Dems have to hold the margin - not gain. Not a bad poll all things considered.

I've always assumed the GOP could make inroads still in the panhandle.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2020, 12:04:27 PM »
College town + rural South district = probably one of the most likely places to trend against Biden.  See VA-05.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2020, 12:04:31 PM »
Scary.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2020, 12:06:03 PM »
October 24-25

This district gave Clinton 52% of the vote in 2016. In the same year, the State Senate election broke to Montford (D), 67.36%-32.64%.

State Senate: Ausley +7%
Loranne Ausley (D) 51%
Marva Preston (R) 44%
Undecided 5%
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2020, 12:06:46 PM »

Not when taken in conjunction with St. Pete's other releases today.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2020, 12:07:06 PM »

The article says it was 52% Clinton in 2016, making this a slight Dem swing, though I don't have the full data.
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EJ24
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2020, 12:07:40 PM »

Why? Biden is holding the blue districts steady while Trump losing about 6 points or so in districts he won.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2020, 12:10:36 PM »
This is a very inelastic district.  Includes very Dem Tallahassee and some deep red rurals.  Not many swing voters here.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2020, 12:57:25 PM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on October 27, 2020, 12:10:36 PM
This is a very inelastic district.  Includes very Dem Tallahassee and some deep red rurals.  Not many swing voters here.

Yes and no Tongue

Its current state senator did get 70% of the vote Tongue, Liberty county still has some fuzzy demosaurs left.
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