Emerson: Biden +5
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  Emerson: Biden +5
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Author Topic: Emerson: Biden +5  (Read 1165 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 27, 2020, 07:05:56 PM »

Biden 50 (+2)
Trump 45 (+1)

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/october-national-poll-biden-with-five-point-lead-one-week-out
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 07:06:28 PM »

Memerson strikes back
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Buzz
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2020, 07:06:56 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2020, 07:11:05 PM by Buzz »

Seems in line with where I see this ending... 5-6 points
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2020, 07:07:10 PM »

This is actually the best Biden has ever done in this poll.  First Emerson result I would be fully confident of a Biden EC win with.
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Ljube
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2020, 07:07:34 PM »

If Biden is up 5, the race is open.
Advantage Biden, but Trump has a chance.
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WD
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2020, 07:07:40 PM »

Lol Memeson
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2020, 07:08:05 PM »

This has Trump winning Indies by 6 and positive approval with Indies.

Junk this. May Emerson be lost this cycle and never come back.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2020, 07:08:29 PM »

this is a good poll for Joe Biden, given this is Emerson.
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Rand
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2020, 07:09:20 PM »

Solid D.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2020, 07:09:50 PM »

this is a good poll for Joe Biden, given this is Emerson.

My view has been is that Emerson is not particularly R-biased, but rather just pathetically wrong at everything they do
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2020, 07:10:23 PM »

Emerson has been one of, if not Trump's best national pollster. They've regularly had his approval even or near even throughout his presidency. They had Trump leading nationally at least once this year. Pretty good poll for Biden.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2020, 07:13:40 PM »

this is a good poll for Joe Biden, given this is Emerson.

My view has been is that Emerson is not particularly R-biased, but rather just pathetically wrong at everything they do
I don't think Emerson can be called categorically and inherently R biased either. It just has been pretty bad for Biden the entire campaign.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2020, 07:16:36 PM »

Seems in line with where I see this ending... 5-6 points

Why is Emerson right and everyone else wrong?
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Buzz
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2020, 07:53:54 PM »

Seems in line with where I see this ending... 5-6 points

Why is Emerson right and everyone else wrong?
I mean they aren’t exactly alone.  IBD, HarrisX,  RMG
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DrScholl
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2020, 07:56:40 PM »

Seems in line with where I see this ending... 5-6 points

Why is Emerson right and everyone else wrong?
I mean they aren’t exactly alone.  IBD, HarrisX,  RMG

All of those have been favorable to Trump all cycle.
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TC 25
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2020, 07:57:48 PM »

5 point race and Trump is very much in the game for the EC.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2020, 07:59:21 PM »

Results with leaners and pre-rounding changes/margin below
October 25-26
1121 likely voters
MoE: 2.8%
Changes with September 22-23

Biden +4%
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 47% (n/c)
Someone else 2% (-1)
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2020, 08:00:11 PM »

This is actually the best Biden has ever done in this poll.  First Emerson result I would be fully confident of a Biden EC win with.

Is it really? Wow that's some nonsense.
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Person Man
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« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2020, 08:20:19 PM »

This is Biden’s best result in this poll
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Hammy
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« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2020, 08:23:59 PM »

Seems in line with where I see this ending... 5-6 points

Why is Emerson right and everyone else wrong?
I mean they aren’t exactly alone.  IBD, HarrisX,  RMG

HarrisX is not a good poll as there are too many undecideds most of the time, and IBD has a severe R bias--it had Trump between +2 and +5 most of 2016 with the PV.

Not really familiar with RMG so can't say much.
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SenatorCouzens
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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2020, 09:19:33 PM »

If this forum can entertain post after post of Texas going for Biden (hardly impossible imo!), it should be able to entertain the possibility of a 5 point national race where Biden takes back WI-MI-PA and adds AZ for a fairly narrow electoral college win.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2020, 09:20:04 PM »

If this forum can entertain post after post of Texas going for Biden, it should be able to entertain the possibility of a 5 point national race where Biden takes back WI-MI-PA and adds AZ for a fairly narrow electoral college win.

Yep. That's also plausible.
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