Jamestown Associates (R) - PA-08: Biden +2
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Author Topic: Jamestown Associates (R) - PA-08: Biden +2  (Read 1147 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 17, 2020, 09:19:04 AM »
Biden 48
Trump 46

Source
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2020, 09:20:52 AM »
Literally Scranton Joe.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2020, 09:21:23 AM »
Yikes. Trump won here by 9 and this is a Republican internal.

Again, all PA congressional polls are pointing more towards those Biden 8-12 leads than those 3-5 leads.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2020, 09:21:56 AM »
A GOP internal showing a 12-point swing to Biden compared to 2016. You love to see it!
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2020, 09:23:21 AM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on October 17, 2020, 09:21:56 AM
A GOP internal showing a 12-point swing to Biden compared to 2016. You love to see it!
This!
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2020, 09:26:05 AM »
In this district right now!
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2020, 09:27:31 AM »


Any Biden signs?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2020, 09:29:12 AM »
Trump Campaign:
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2020, 09:30:36 AM »

In his new thread on Lackawanna County, I think KaiserDave said it's about even. 
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2020, 09:34:12 AM »
Anyone know how Obama did here in 2012/2008?
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2020, 09:34:52 AM »

Follow my journal! Smiley


https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=404641.0
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2020, 09:47:03 AM »
Quote from: The Trump Virus on October 17, 2020, 09:34:12 AM
Anyone know how Obama did here in 2012/2008?

2016: Trump +9.6
2012: Obama +11.9
2008: Obama: +14.4

So it's certainly snapping back quite a bit
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kph14
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2020, 10:29:55 AM »
What a brutal poll for Trump
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politicallefty
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2020, 03:10:27 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 17, 2020, 09:47:03 AM
Quote from: The Trump Virus on October 17, 2020, 09:34:12 AM
Anyone know how Obama did here in 2012/2008?

2016: Trump +9.6
2012: Obama +11.9
2008: Obama: +14.4

So it's certainly snapping back quite a bit

If it's snapping back like that in white working class NEPA, I have to wonder what might be happening in Northeast Ohio, especially in Mahoning and Trumbull Counties.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2020, 12:18:53 PM »
This is one of the those areas in the country which will host a high number of Obama--->Trump--->Biden voters.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2020, 12:20:25 PM »
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on October 18, 2020, 12:18:53 PM
This is one of the those areas in the country which will host a high number of Obama--->Trump--->Biden voters.

Yep. I Want To Believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Midwest, but I actually do believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Northeast.
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Sbane
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2020, 12:33:17 PM »
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 18, 2020, 12:20:25 PM
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on October 18, 2020, 12:18:53 PM
This is one of the those areas in the country which will host a high number of Obama--->Trump--->Biden voters.

Yep. I Want To Believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Midwest, but I actually do believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Northeast.

If you believe those swings will occur in the rural/small town/small city Northeast, it’s not a stretch to think that similar swings will also occur in the upper Midwest and the west. In Ohio it might just be in that stretch from Toledo to Youngstown with the rest of the rural/small town areas in central and southern Ohio sticking with Trump.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2020, 12:57:35 PM »
Quote from: Sbane on October 18, 2020, 12:33:17 PM
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 18, 2020, 12:20:25 PM
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on October 18, 2020, 12:18:53 PM
This is one of the those areas in the country which will host a high number of Obama--->Trump--->Biden voters.

Yep. I Want To Believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Midwest, but I actually do believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Northeast.

If you believe those swings will occur in the rural/small town/small city Northeast, it’s not a stretch to think that similar swings will also occur in the upper Midwest and the west. In Ohio it might just be in that stretch from Toledo to Youngstown with the rest of the rural/small town areas in central and southern Ohio sticking with Trump.

Yeah, places like Youngstown-Warren, Erie County PA, Macomb County MI, and the Driftless in WI will very clearly have a decently significant Democratic snapback in 2020.
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2020, 01:07:22 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2020, 03:57:52 PM by National Progressive »
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on October 18, 2020, 12:57:35 PM
Quote from: Sbane on October 18, 2020, 12:33:17 PM
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 18, 2020, 12:20:25 PM
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on October 18, 2020, 12:18:53 PM
This is one of the those areas in the country which will host a high number of Obama--->Trump--->Biden voters.

Yep. I Want To Believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Midwest, but I actually do believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Northeast.

If you believe those swings will occur in the rural/small town/small city Northeast, it’s not a stretch to think that similar swings will also occur in the upper Midwest and the west. In Ohio it might just be in that stretch from Toledo to Youngstown with the rest of the rural/small town areas in central and southern Ohio sticking with Trump.

Yeah, places like Youngstown-Warren, Erie County PA, Macomb County MI, and the Driftless in WI will very clearly have a decently significant Democratic snapback in 2020.

Biden's generally polling much better in Wisconsin and Michigan than in Pennsylvania. I suspect the strongest "snapbacks" will be in New England (Kent County, RI will certainly go Democratic), the denser Obama/Trump areas that are urban or inner suburban in character rather than small city or rural (Staten Island, Macomb, South Philly, Erie, Lackawanna), and the Driftless Area.
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Sbane
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« Reply #19 on: October 18, 2020, 03:07:34 PM »
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on October 18, 2020, 12:57:35 PM
Quote from: Sbane on October 18, 2020, 12:33:17 PM
Quote from: The scissors of false economy on October 18, 2020, 12:20:25 PM
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on October 18, 2020, 12:18:53 PM
This is one of the those areas in the country which will host a high number of Obama--->Trump--->Biden voters.

Yep. I Want To Believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Midwest, but I actually do believe in the Biden win-back of the rural/periurban Northeast.

If you believe those swings will occur in the rural/small town/small city Northeast, it’s not a stretch to think that similar swings will also occur in the upper Midwest and the west. In Ohio it might just be in that stretch from Toledo to Youngstown with the rest of the rural/small town areas in central and southern Ohio sticking with Trump.

Yeah, places like Youngstown-Warren, Erie County PA, Macomb County MI, and the Driftless in WI will very clearly have a decently significant Democratic snapback in 2020.

Macomb county is absolutely critical for Trump. Even a couple points swing to Biden likely flips the state.
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