NE-02 - FM3 Research (D): Biden+11

[n1240]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/520263-poll-shows-biden-leading-trump-tight-house-race-in-key-nebraska-district

Biden 53
Trump 42

10/1-4, 450 LV

[TDAS04]

Considering it’s similar to his lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania, it’s believable.

[Lief 🗽]

Looks about right but Eastman running 9 points behind him is embarrassing.

[Old Man Willow]

This was never going to be close given the trends. Biden would have won here even if he was unable to flip a single state.

[redjohn]

This will be a nice win for Biden. Every elector counts!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Undecided, will vote for another candidate, or refused to answer: 5%

MoE: 4.6%

[Calthrina950]

Looks about right but Eastman running 9 points behind him is embarrassing.

I still think Eastman will get across the finish line, but a Bacon victory is by no means out of the question at this point. As in 2018, he has managed to successfully convince voters that he is a moderate consensus-builder (while in reality he has been a generic backbencher). Bacon's likability and military background certainly have helped him as well.

[DaleCooper]

Looks about right but Eastman running 9 points behind him is embarrassing.

I still think Eastman will get across the finish line, but a Bacon victory is by no means out of the question at this point. As in 2018, he has managed to successfully convince voters that he is a moderate consensus-builder (while in reality he has been a generic backbencher). Bacon's likability and military background certainly have helped him as well.

Eastman has been running a good campaign this year, but it's going to be tough for her to get people to forget her 2018 campaign, which was an AOC-style Justice Democrats message that was never going to work in this district.

As for Biden, I don't doubt for a second that he's going to win here by at least high single-digits.