GA-GBAO (D): Biden +3

[GeorgiaModerate]

Georgia: GBAO (Warnock internal), Sep. 14-16, 600 LV

Biden 49
Trump 46

Loeffler 29, Warnock 25, Collins 19

[Tender Branson]

Lieberman must drop out immediately and Dems need to drop 30 million $ of the Ginsburg money into the special.

That’s the only way to make this somewhat competitive ...

[ajc0918]

Collins appears to be dropping in several polls. Decent poll for Biden and Warnock although it's an internal.

[Horus]

Lieberman must drop out immediately and Dems need to drop 30 million $ of the Ginsburg money into the special.

That’s the only way to make this somewhat competitive ...

Not gonna happen. Matt Lieberman makes JK3 look humble.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

MoE: 4%

[Person Man]

Trump will probably win Georgia but probably by not as a much as Kemp did, let alone how much he did his first time around. Maybe by 1.5% or the lowest amount that has a modicum of being a "fair and square" win.

OR

These guys are the new Trafalgar group, a hyperpartisan polling outfit is mostly way off but occasionally right.  This could be because their model assumes the best case scenario for their candidate and it all falls into place... i.e. There's a grassroots disinformation campaign (a bunch of whoevers are all lying to the pollsters) causing a polling error that only their outfit can pick up on, there's a strong GOTV in place, AND the other campaign is either disorganized and/or lacks situation awareness. This could be these guys, too.

[wbrocks67]

Georgia has been a complete tossup in nearly every single poll and will continue that. Not sure why people are so convinced that Trump will still win here, especially given the massive turnout in the primary. Not to mention, I think Biden has had leads here more often than not.

It's also clear that the special is going to a run-off, and it looks like Warnock started to run his ads at the perfect time.

[psychprofessor]

Heading into the home stretch of the campaign polls in GA, NC and TX are closer than polls from PA, WI and MI. Tells you about the state of the race.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Georgia has been a complete tossup in nearly every single poll and will continue that. Not sure why people are so convinced that Trump will still win here, especially given the massive turnout in the primary. Not to mention, I think Biden has had leads here more often than not.

Seems easy to convince people when they're suffering from 2016/2018 PTSD. That + conveniently disregarding any GA poll showing Dems leading by anything less than +5 with "voter suppression"