PR - Beacon Research/Puerto Rico Herald - gubernatorial polls, state legislature, statehood

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

July 20-26
https://www.puertorico-herald.org/issues2/2020/vol18n03/PRH-July%202020%20Poll%20-%20Final%20Topline.pdf

Primary Elections
PPD primary
~192 voters

Charlie Delgado Altieri 44%
Eduardo Bhatia (D) 26%
Carmen Yulin Cruz (D) 16%
NOTA 6%
Not sure/refused 8%

PNP primary
~289 voters

Pedro Pierluisi (D) 43%
Wanda Vasquez (R) 43%
Not sure/refused 13%

Gubernatorial Elections
802 voters

Pierluisi v.s. Altieri
Pierluisi (PNP-D) 26%
Altieri (PPD) 24%
Would not vote 11%
Juan Dalmau (PIP) 7%
Someone else 7%
Alexandra Lugaro (MVC) 6%
Cesar Vasquez (PD) 2%
Not sure/refused 16%

Hypotheticals:

Vasquez v.s. Altieri
Vasquez (PNP-R) 24%
Altieri (PPD) 23%
Would not vote 13%
Juan Dalmau (PIP) 7%
Alexandra Lugaro (MVC) 7%
Someone else 7%
Cesar Vasquez (PD) 3%
Not sure/refused 17%

Pierluisi v.s. Bhatia
Pierluisi (PNP-D) 27%
Bhatia (PPD-D) 16%
Would not vote 14%
Someone else 9%
Juan Dalmau (PIP) 7%
Alexandra Lugaro (MVC) 7%
Cesar Vasquez (PD) 3%
Not sure/refused 17%

Vasquez v.s. Bhatia
Vasquez (PNP-R) 24%
Bhatia (PPD-D) 17%
Would not vote 14%
Juan Dalmau (PIP) 9%
Someone else 9%
Alexandra Lugaro (MVC) 7%
Cesar Vasquez (PD) 4%
Not sure/refused 16%

State Legislature
802 voters

PNP 33%
PPD 30%
Would not vote 9%
MVC 3%
PIP 2%
Someone else 2%
PD 0% (no voters)
Not sure/refused 20%

Statehood Referendum
802 voters

"There will also be a status plebiscite at the same time as the other elections this November...Do you plan to vote in the plebiscite or not vote?"

Would vote 54%
Would not 33%
Depends 4%
Not sure/refused 9%

"If there is a status plebiscite and the options are voting YES, in favor of statehood for Puerto Rico, or NO, against statehood for Puerto Rico, which would you choose?"

Yes 54%
No 33%
Would not vote 4%
Refused 2%
Not sure 8%

September 14-18

https://www.puertorico-herald.org/issues2/2020/vol18n04/PRH%20Sept%202020%20Poll-%20Final%20Topline.pdf

803 voters
Changes with July 20-26 poll

Gubernatorial election

Pierluisi v.s. Altieri
Pierluisi (PNP-D) 29% (+3)
Altieri (PPD) 27% (+3)
Alexandra Lugaro (MVC) 8% (+2)
Juan Dalmau (PIP) 6% (-1)
Someone else 4% (-3)
Cesar Vasquez (PD) 3% (+1)
Would not vote 3% (-8)
Not sure/refused 17% (+1)

State Legislature

PNP 36% (+3)
PPD 31% (+1)
Would not vote 7% (-2)
Someone else 3% (+1)
MVC 2% (-1)
PD 1% (+1)
PIP 1% (-1)
Not sure/refused 18% (-2)

Statehood Referendum

"There will also be a status plebiscite at the same time as the other elections this November...Do you plan to vote in the plebiscite or not vote?"

Would vote 57% (+3)
Would not 32% (-1)
Depends 4% (+1)
Not sure/refused 8% (-1)

[IF SELECTED 'WOULD VOTE'] "In the status plebiscite, do you plan to vote YES, in favor of statehood for Puerto Rico, or NO, against statehood for Puerto Rico?|

Yes 70%
No 24%
Would not vote 0% (no voters)
Not sure/Refused 5%

[IF SELECTED 'WOULD NOT VOTE', 'NOT SURE' OR 'REFUSED'] "If you did decide to vote in the plebiscite would you vote YES, in favor of statehood for Puerto Rico, or NO, against statehood for Puerto Rico?"

No 49%
Yes 31%
Would not vote 9%
Refused 2%
Not sure/Refused 10%

[COMBINING THE PREFERENCES OF THOSE WHO WOULD AND THOSE WOULD NOT VOTE]

Yes 53% (-1)
No 35% (+2)
Would not vote 4% (n/c)
Refused 1% (-1)
Not sure 7% (-1)

[GALeftist]

Lean/Likely plurality for statehood.