The Hill/HarrisX: Biden +6
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  The Hill/HarrisX: Biden +6
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Author Topic: The Hill/HarrisX: Biden +6  (Read 639 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: September 15, 2020, 04:36:44 PM »

Sep 10-14, 3758 RV

Biden 45% (-2)
Trump 39%

https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/516546-what-americas-thinking-september-15-2020
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2020, 05:06:26 PM »

Perfect time for HarrisX to continue with Scott Rasmussen and Leger to screw up the poll average. Also 16% undecided still... come on now
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2020, 05:34:27 PM »

https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/516570-poll-trump-trails-biden-by-6-points-nationally

For The Hill
MoE: 1.6%
Changes with September 5-8 poll

Other 4% (-1)
Not voting 4% (n/c)
Not sure 8% (+1)
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2020, 06:05:38 PM »

So Georgia and the nation are lockstep, fascinating
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2020, 01:45:36 AM »

Perfect time for HarrisX to continue with Scott Rasmussen and Leger to screw up the poll average. Also 16% undecided still... come on now

Any poll that doesn't have Biden up by double digits is suspect in your mind. A 6% lead for Biden is very plausible at this stage, and very close to what we've been seeing over the past several weeks.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2020, 05:18:28 AM »

Perfect time for HarrisX to continue with Scott Rasmussen and Leger to screw up the poll average. Also 16% undecided still... come on now

Any poll that doesn't have Biden up by double digits is suspect in your mind. A 6% lead for Biden is very plausible at this stage, and very close to what we've been seeing over the past several weeks.

Actually that's not true at all, but thank you for being so obsessed with me Wink
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2020, 08:09:05 AM »

It is true that the national lead has decreased, but what fascinates me is that the swing state margins are not decreasing and many are consistently widening in Biden's favor. One of the most underrated considerations of this election is that Trump's massive EC advantage might be a mirage, even though he still benefits from an EC edge. If Biden is improving by significant margins with white voters (educated or otherwise) and seniors then he doesn't need high-single digits to win comfortably.

As for The Hill, there's excuse for 16% undecideds/3rd party at this point. Their polls are always like this and it's not consistent with other polls with similar margins. The Fox poll is believable enough because it actually captures the potential amount of support each candidate is getting, this is completely indecipherable. 45-39 is not the current state of this race.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2020, 08:15:12 AM »

Perfect time for HarrisX to continue with Scott Rasmussen and Leger to screw up the poll average. Also 16% undecided still... come on now

Any poll that doesn't have Biden up by double digits is suspect in your mind. A 6% lead for Biden is very plausible at this stage, and very close to what we've been seeing over the past several weeks.

Actually that's not true at all, but thank you for being so obsessed with me Wink

This is unhealthy for me at this point, so I shall cease. I don't want to be going down the rabbit hole that I went down before my hiatus.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2020, 08:17:27 AM »

Perfect time for HarrisX to continue with Scott Rasmussen and Leger to screw up the poll average. Also 16% undecided still... come on now

Any poll that doesn't have Biden up by double digits is suspect in your mind. A 6% lead for Biden is very plausible at this stage, and very close to what we've been seeing over the past several weeks.

Actually that's not true at all, but thank you for being so obsessed with me Wink

How is it not true? A 6% lead is within the MoE unless you think Biden is up by more than 10% nationally. And there is not much reason to think that.
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