Leger: Biden +9
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Author Topic: Leger: Biden +9  (Read 723 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: August 24, 2020, 04:42:52 PM »
Biden 49% (+2)
Trump 40% (+1)
Jorgensen 2% (nc)
Hawkins 1% (-1)
West 1% (-1)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200824_National.pdf
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #1 on: August 24, 2020, 04:59:12 PM »
Consolidation is the word yet again.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #2 on: August 24, 2020, 05:06:50 PM »
These Biden plus 9 numbers are still inflated, a 279 EC map and a tied Senate is probably what we are gonna get.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #3 on: August 24, 2020, 05:07:18 PM »
TIGHTENING
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #4 on: August 24, 2020, 05:14:05 PM »
The DNC bump 👀
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Illini Moderate
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« Reply #5 on: August 24, 2020, 05:32:53 PM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on August 24, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
These Biden plus 9 numbers are still inflated, a 279 EC map and a tied Senate is probably what we are gonna get.

Thanks for your input! The other 30000 times you've said it really didn't make it clear that this was your opinion.
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Holmes
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« Reply #6 on: August 24, 2020, 05:34:10 PM »
Quote from: Illini Moderate on August 24, 2020, 05:32:53 PM
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on August 24, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
These Biden plus 9 numbers are still inflated, a 279 EC map and a tied Senate is probably what we are gonna get.

Thanks for your input! The other 30000 times you've said it really didn't make it clear that this was your opinion.

lol
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: August 24, 2020, 05:38:16 PM »
Quote from: Illini Moderate on August 24, 2020, 05:32:53 PM
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on August 24, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
These Biden plus 9 numbers are still inflated, a 279 EC map and a tied Senate is probably what we are gonna get.

Thanks for your input! The other 30000 times you've said it really didn't make it clear that this was your opinion.

I am only saying due to fact Biden refuses to do campaigning events in person and Pelosi is holding up a stimulus bill for people on Social Security 1200 which hurt Seniors, Ds have to watch out for AZ Senate, Kelly winning isnt a done deal. Unemployment persons already got their 400 from Trump signing an executive order
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: August 24, 2020, 05:44:48 PM »
Quote from: Illini Moderate on August 24, 2020, 05:32:53 PM
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on August 24, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
These Biden plus 9 numbers are still inflated, a 279 EC map and a tied Senate is probably what we are gonna get.

Thanks for your input! The other 30000 times you've said it really didn't make it clear that this was your opinion.

Well, for now. Stay tuned!
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: August 24, 2020, 06:24:07 PM »
894 likely voters
MoE: 3.1%
August 21-23, 2020

Will not vote 1% (+1%)
Don't know 6% (-4%)
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: August 24, 2020, 06:29:42 PM »
It's funny how there has been a legit increase in Biden's support since the beginning of the month if you include every poll. 538 has gone from Biden +7.6 on 8/5 to Biden +9.4. Yet you wouldn't know that on RCP when they pick and choose polls that make them feel good.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: August 24, 2020, 06:31:45 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 24, 2020, 06:29:42 PM
It's funny how there has been a legit increase in Biden's support since the beginning of the month if you include every poll. 538 has gone from Biden +7.6 on 8/5 to Biden +9.4. Yet you wouldn't know that on RCP when they pick and choose polls that make them feel good.

It's even more frustrating that we are still getting the "the race has tightened" takes when that clearly is not true
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: August 24, 2020, 06:39:15 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on August 24, 2020, 06:31:45 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 24, 2020, 06:29:42 PM
It's funny how there has been a legit increase in Biden's support since the beginning of the month if you include every poll. 538 has gone from Biden +7.6 on 8/5 to Biden +9.4. Yet you wouldn't know that on RCP when they pick and choose polls that make them feel good.

It's even more frustrating that we are still getting the "the race has tightened" takes when that clearly is not true

IMO Democrats should not be frustrated by that message permeating the public consciousness. Let the election seem like a tossup (or even better, lean R) to every Democrat who might not otherwise turn out and let them vote blue downballot to put checks on Trump. Tongue
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #13 on: August 25, 2020, 10:38:08 AM »
Why does 538 show no grade for this pollster?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #14 on: August 25, 2020, 11:06:22 AM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on August 25, 2020, 10:38:08 AM
Why does 538 show no grade for this pollster?

They don't have any track record in US elections that I'm aware of.
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