MT moves to tossup in atlas consensus!
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  MT moves to tossup in atlas consensus!		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Is this change in rating...
#1
Too cocky		  
#2
Just right		  
#3
Not blue(atlas red) enough		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: MT moves to tossup in atlas consensus!  (Read 406 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« on: July 21, 2020, 07:49:12 PM »
Right now most major forecasters have it as lean R, but that has been changing recently, and I expect it to continue to change. Thus far, Atlas has been pretty conservative with their predictions after 2016, so it surprises me a bit MT moved to tossup while other states like PA and NE-2 are also tossups in the presidential map. This certainly shows that the battlefield is expanding in favor of the Democratic Party, and it's just one more realistic pick up opportunity.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 90,280
Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2020, 08:19:46 PM »
Yes, since Bullock is on the ballot
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Not Me, Us
KhanOfKhans
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« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2020, 08:31:15 PM »
I think tossup is a good spot for it. No candidate really has a clear lead. We'll get a clearer picture of the race in the fall.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 90,280
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #3 on: July 21, 2020, 10:20:56 PM »
Its important to note, in 2012, Tester won against Rehberg, while MT went red for Prez as well. Also, MO went to McCaskill in 2012, while Romney won it by 9 pts. Galloway and Cooney have a chance to win Governorships as well. As well as Bollier.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2020, 07:16:51 PM »
Key endorsement
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 90,280
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #5 on: July 24, 2020, 07:26:17 PM »

Biden is up by 13 pts in a wave election and Bullock regardless of what the polls say now, as long as he stays close will win, in a blue wave election. Since its MT and Trump isnt gonna win MT  by double digits like he did last time, that Daines needs to overcome Bullick
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Holmes
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Posts: 13,790
Canada


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E: -6.45, S: -5.74

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« Reply #6 on: July 24, 2020, 07:28:17 PM »

what is dis hunny
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