Sedgwick County, KS-Progress Campaign: Trump +8

[Pollster]

Link

June 29-July 3, 2020

Trump 49
Biden 41
Other/Don't Know 10

Was Trump 54/39 in 2016, third parties did exceptionally well here.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

*insert caveat regarding internal polls*

Regardless, I think this county will go D at the senate level especially if Kobach is nominated.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KS clearly is in play

[DrScholl]

Sedgwick is usually close to the statewide number, so this would point to Kansas being within single digits.

[indietraveler]

Sedgwick is one of the reasons KS isn't as easy of a flip as people think here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sedgwick is one of the reasons KS isn't as easy of a flip as people think here.

If Kobach is the nominee,  KS, like in 2018 will go D. Kobach is the reason why there is a Gov Kelly

[Hope For A New Era]

One thing that I think really hasn't been talked about with Laura Kelly's win in 2018 was how dramatically she closed the gap in the western part of the state. She outperformed Clinton by 17 points in Ellis, 14 points in Reno, 13 points in Barton...some really intense swings out there. If Bollier or even Biden can manage that, we could see some really impressive performances this November.

Not a clue how she managed to flip Harvey, though. Seems like an unremarkable, mostly rural county. I would at first assume something like Galloway's random central Missouri flips, but Kelly is from Topeka.

Sedgwick is usually close to the statewide number, so this would point to Kansas being within single digits.

Historically true, but with the way Johnson seems to be going, we may see that relationship begin to break down.

[Pollster]

Not a clue how she managed to flip Harvey, though. Seems like an unremarkable, mostly rural county.

It's culturally more similar to Wichita than to rural Kansas, though obviously less urban/suburban. It should be expected to be just a few points to the right of Sedgwick (and the state by extension).