Why were polls accurate in Georgia the most

[Motorcity]

In both the presidential race and senate races, the polls in Georgia were very accurate. The most accurate of any competitive state. Why is that? What made the Peach State immune to the issues pollsters faced in other states?

My guess is that Georgia is still seen as a lean/tilt red state, so the Silent Trump vote wasn't a factor. They were comfortable with answering pollsters.

[Ron DeSantis enthusiast]

Very ineslastic population and too polarized, urban areas vote heavily D, rural areas voted heavily R and suburbs have been trending D

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

More black and brown are moving into GA, VA, than other states. NC isn't that AA any longer, more AA are living in Savannah and Atl than Charlotte

[lfromnj]

You just have to guess the racial composition and not be too stupid like Marist and somehow think Biden is going to get 35% with rural whites.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

because GA doesn't have as many Hispanics or elastic WWC voters as other swing states. polls underestimated GOP support among both of those demographics.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Mcconnell had just blocked the 2K Stimulus before people received their 600 that caused a surge for Ossoff and WARNOCK

Now, we find out that the IRS is taking people s tax monies owed and giving it out in Stimulus and we must file it as a rebate on our 2021 returns of we don't get it. Also, D's are gonna spend all the tax payers monies on an impeachment trial and people haven't even received their checks yet.

No wonder why there is no more monies for 2K, and there is a debt ceiling in June and D's are gonna be hard pressed to extend unemployment again

Stimulus is a sham

Also, Trump should be censured not impeached, they don't have 17 Rs

[Hope For A New Era]

Well, my theory is that what would have been an R polling mirage created by demographic change canceled out the D polling mirage that occurs when Trump is on the ballot.

Basically, the pollers underestimated just how much Georgia has changed, and so were polling an electorate to the right of the state, but when Trump is on the ballot, all states vote to the right of themselves.

It appears that a similar thing happened in Colorado.

[tagimaucia]

IMHO:

Non-college whites are so overwhelmingly Republican in Georgia that there's no real divide between higher and lower social trust poll respondents the way there is in other states, and you can get a nearly perfect sample of them despite non-response issues that have a much bigger impact in some other places.

The salient/swing voters in the state are college-educated (primarily suburban) whites who are the most willing and reliable poll participants of any demographic group.

[Non Swing Voter]

My theory is that Trump's campaign didn't focus on it in terms of registering voters and getting them to the polls.  This meant there was less chance of not picking up new/infrequent Trump voters there. 

Also, it is a state that is rapidly trending Dem (faster than people expected) in a year where there was a Dem polling bias.  These two things probably cancelled each other out a bit.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I stated before, the midterms aren't over with yet, the Rs are still primed for gains, the majority, it's silly to underestimate Rs.  Ossoff and Warnock, campaigned on 2K checks and that was the difference maker, since the IRS is having so much trouble giving people their 600,2K won't come and in the Spring Unemployment will be debated again but there won't be any stimulus on that.

The best way of doing the stimulus was to place it on people's Govt check and direct deposited on workers but people aren't getting their checks

[mileslunn]

Stacy Abrams.  Georgia Democrats have probably best ground game in country so others may have been accurate, just too many weren't showing up thus underestimating Democrats.  No other state Democrats I know of has anyone with as good a ground game as Stacy Abrams.  Florida and Ohio Democrats are in the absolute dumps.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Everytime I talk to someone they say they haven't gotten their 600, D's now have to deliver on 2K now

[lfromnj]

Stacy Abrams.  Georgia Democrats have probably best ground game in country so others may have been accurate, just too many weren't showing up thus underestimating Democrats.  No other state Democrats I know of has anyone with as good a ground game as Stacy Abrams.  Florida and Ohio Democrats are in the absolute dumps.

You do realize its Brian Kemp who was the one that registered millions of voters in GA with AVR.

My theory is that Trump's campaign didn't focus on it in terms of registering voters and getting them to the polls.  This meant there was less chance of not picking up new/infrequent Trump voters there. 

Also, it is a state that is rapidly trending Dem (faster than people expected) in a year where there was a Dem polling bias.  These two things probably cancelled each other out a bit.

Georgia is the one state where Trump outspent Biden.

[Non Swing Voter]

Stacy Abrams.  Georgia Democrats have probably best ground game in country so others may have been accurate, just too many weren't showing up thus underestimating Democrats.  No other state Democrats I know of has anyone with as good a ground game as Stacy Abrams.  Florida and Ohio Democrats are in the absolute dumps.

You do realize its Brian Kemp who was the one that registered millions of voters in GA with AVR.

My theory is that Trump's campaign didn't focus on it in terms of registering voters and getting them to the polls.  This meant there was less chance of not picking up new/infrequent Trump voters there. 

Also, it is a state that is rapidly trending Dem (faster than people expected) in a year where there was a Dem polling bias.  These two things probably cancelled each other out a bit.

Georgia is the one state where Trump outspent Biden.

To my knowledge the Trump campaign/RNC did not spend the last 4 years registering voters in Georgia the way they did in states like Pennsylvania and Michigan though.  It was actually the other way around.  So to the extent polls weren't picking up "new" voters, this actually probably undercounted Dems in Georgia more than R's.

[lfromnj]

Stacy Abrams.  Georgia Democrats have probably best ground game in country so others may have been accurate, just too many weren't showing up thus underestimating Democrats.  No other state Democrats I know of has anyone with as good a ground game as Stacy Abrams.  Florida and Ohio Democrats are in the absolute dumps.

You do realize its Brian Kemp who was the one that registered millions of voters in GA with AVR.

My theory is that Trump's campaign didn't focus on it in terms of registering voters and getting them to the polls.  This meant there was less chance of not picking up new/infrequent Trump voters there. 

Also, it is a state that is rapidly trending Dem (faster than people expected) in a year where there was a Dem polling bias.  These two things probably cancelled each other out a bit.

Georgia is the one state where Trump outspent Biden.

To my knowledge the Trump campaign/RNC did not spend the last 4 years registering voters in Georgia the way they did in states like Pennsylvania and Michigan though.  It was actually the other way around.  So to the extent polls weren't picking up "new" voters, this actually probably undercounted Dems in Georgia more than R's.

They didn't register new voters because Kemp did that all with AVR.