NPR/Marist: Biden +7
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Author Topic: NPR/Marist: Biden +7  (Read 1992 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: June 05, 2020, 11:18:32 AM »

Biden 50
Trump 43

https://t.co/AC1wZ9vRTs?amp=1
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2020, 11:19:45 AM »

Good for Trump
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2020, 11:20:01 AM »

Biden hitting the 50% mark is good news for him.

He also leads 52-35% on race relations.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2020, 11:43:31 AM »


"There's no way this is right. All my friends hate Biden. JUNK IT."
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Bomster
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« Reply #4 on: June 05, 2020, 12:05:37 PM »

I love how not losing by 10 points is good for Trump. Lowering the bar is all Trumps done.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #5 on: June 05, 2020, 12:07:29 PM »

I love how not losing by 10 points is good for Trump. Lowering the bar is all Trumps done.

One of the Nates (I can't remember if it was Cohen or Silver) showed that Trump *could* (not would) win the electoral college even while losing the PV by as much as 5 points. So now Atlas thinks that Trump is favored as long as he isn't behind by double digits in national PV polls.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #6 on: June 05, 2020, 12:18:44 PM »

I love how not losing by 10 points is good for Trump. Lowering the bar is all Trumps done.

One of the Nates (I can't remember if it was Cohen or Silver) showed that Trump *could* (not would) win the electoral college even while losing the PV by as much as 5 points. So now Atlas thinks that Trump is favored as long as he isn't behind by double digits in national PV polls.

It was Nate Cohn I believe.
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SN2903
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« Reply #7 on: June 05, 2020, 03:40:31 PM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.
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Orser67
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« Reply #8 on: June 06, 2020, 09:15:44 AM »

I always like when polls break down approval ratings into "strong" and "somewhat", since I think there'd be a fairly large difference in voting behavior between e.g. someone who somewhat disapproves of Trump and someone who strongly disapproves.

Trump's strong disapproval rating in this poll is at 47%, the highest it's ever been for Marist, while his strong approval is 28%, down a little bit from the height of early 2020 (32%). In total, 75% strongly approve or disapprove of Trump, which I think is also a new high for Marist. I also find it kind of interesting that Trump does a little better with Republican women than Republican men, since in general he does better with men than with women.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: June 06, 2020, 09:59:44 AM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

You really think that the economy is doing well and the unemployment is still 14 percent
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Nyvin
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« Reply #10 on: June 06, 2020, 10:08:31 AM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

The unemployment numbers are still extremely bad you know, right?
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SN2903
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« Reply #11 on: June 06, 2020, 10:33:40 AM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

The unemployment numbers are still extremely bad you know, right?
but trending down fast and the market is almost where it was in Feburary.  Dow is 27k it was 29 in Feb
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: June 06, 2020, 10:36:53 AM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

The unemployment numbers are still extremely bad you know, right?
but trending down fast and the market is almost where it was in Feburary.  Dow is 27k it was 29 in Feb

regular americans do not care about the stock market when 43 million+ have filed for unemployment and the unemployment rate is over 13%.
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SN2903
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« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2020, 11:49:58 AM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

The unemployment numbers are still extremely bad you know, right?
but trending down fast and the market is almost where it was in Feburary.  Dow is 27k it was 29 in Feb

regular americans do not care about the stock market when 43 million+ have filed for unemployment and the unemployment rate is over 13%.
Millions have 401ks and retirement accounts and many are middle class. Simply not true and people know the virus wasn't Trump's fault
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2020, 12:35:06 PM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

The unemployment numbers are still extremely bad you know, right?
but trending down fast and the market is almost where it was in Feburary.  Dow is 27k it was 29 in Feb

regular americans do not care about the stock market when 43 million+ have filed for unemployment and the unemployment rate is over 13%.
Millions have 401ks and retirement accounts and many are middle class. Simply not true and people know the virus wasn't Trump's fault

He completely failed in the response, and his approval rating for handling it has been consistently underwater.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2020, 01:22:46 PM »

Its essentially impossible for Biden to win with the electoral college (our constitution is not a legitimate form of government), mass riots and the unemployment numbers.

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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2020, 01:24:45 PM »

Its essentially impossible for Biden to win with the electoral college (our constitution is not a legitimate form of government), mass riots and the unemployment numbers.

No.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2020, 01:27:37 PM »

Its essentially impossible for Biden to win with the electoral college (our constitution is not a legitimate form of government), mass riots and the unemployment numbers.

I agree that the Electoral College is a moderate help to Trump.  But why do you say the other two things will hurt Biden?
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President Johnson
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« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2020, 01:43:58 PM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

Yeah, Trump will again surge such as blacklash against the protests have caused a major surge for Trump. /s
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roxas11
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« Reply #19 on: June 07, 2020, 03:44:00 PM »
« Edited: June 07, 2020, 03:47:11 PM by roxas11 »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

In 2018 unemployment rate hit a record low of 3.7% in September and stock market was at an all time high
Trump and GOP still lost during the midterms lol

lets just be honest about this
most Americans have already made up their minds about trump and economic news is simply not going to change how they feel about him nor is it going to change how they going to vote a few months from now.

just like in 2018 it did not matter how good the economy was or how high the stock market went
most Americans despised trump and they voted the Dems back into power
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SN2903
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« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2020, 07:09:56 PM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

In 2018 unemployment rate hit a record low of 3.7% in September and stock market was at an all time high
Trump and GOP still lost during the midterms lol

lets just be honest about this
most Americans have already made up their minds about trump and economic news is simply not going to change how they feel about him nor is it going to change how they going to vote a few months from now.

just like in 2018 it did not matter how good the economy was or how high the stock market went
most Americans despised trump and they voted the Dems back into power
He can pick away indepdents from Biden and some suburban men and women with an improving economy. Your analysis is wrong.
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Hammy
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« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2020, 08:34:29 PM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

The unemployment numbers are still extremely bad you know, right?
but trending down fast and the market is almost where it was in Feburary.  Dow is 27k it was 29 in Feb

regular americans do not care about the stock market when 43 million+ have filed for unemployment and the unemployment rate is over 13%.
Millions have 401ks and retirement accounts and many are middle class. Simply not true and people know the virus wasn't Trump's fault

Most of those voters are already safe Republican.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: June 08, 2020, 12:31:49 AM »

Cannot wait for the polls next week. Should see a 3-4% tightening and a lot of polls Biden +2 to +4 or 5 because of the economic news.

In 2018 unemployment rate hit a record low of 3.7% in September and stock market was at an all time high
Trump and GOP still lost during the midterms lol

lets just be honest about this
most Americans have already made up their minds about trump and economic news is simply not going to change how they feel about him nor is it going to change how they going to vote a few months from now.

just like in 2018 it did not matter how good the economy was or how high the stock market went
most Americans despised trump and they voted the Dems back into power
He can pick away indepdents from Biden and some suburban men and women with an improving economy. Your analysis is wrong.

Poor SN2903, Trump has been behind by 5 to 8 pts in every poll taken. He cam only take solice in a Change Research poll that wrongly predicted a Bernie and Warren nomination and instead a Biden nomination came about, in that poll showing Trump ahead in PA. Only PPP polls should be trusted in MI, WI and PA, last non change poll in PA showed Biden ahead by 6 in PA
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2020, 06:23:37 AM »

Just wait until Virginia goes nuclear on SN
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