Day 8: Ashtabula County, Ohio
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  Day 8: Ashtabula County, Ohio		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will Ashtabula County, Ohio vote for in 2020?
#1
Joe Biden		  
#2
Donald Trump		  
#3
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: Day 8: Ashtabula County, Ohio  (Read 1141 times)
Sol
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 03, 2020, 08:35:08 AM »
A previously Democratic county which completely flipped in 2016; going from 55% Obama in 2012 to 56% Trump in 2016. Historically quite industrial; was a major coal port. It apparently also has a large Finnish American population. Sherrod Brown narrowly won it in 2018.


Notable for being a headache for amateur redistricters as a small city separated from the rest of the state by Cleveland and Youngstown.
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2020, 09:25:46 AM »
It's >90% white and has bachelors attainment below 15%. Likely R, much much closer to Safe than Lean. Hard to see this flipping to Biden unless there is some sort of brilliant all-inclusive campaigning that ties Trump's bungling of COVID back specifically to the economy.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2020, 09:45:56 AM »
Safe R, if Biden flips this than Trump is losing at 1980 levels.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2020, 04:18:56 PM »
Quote from: President Biden on June 03, 2020, 09:45:56 AM
Safe R, if Biden flips this than Trump is losing at 1980 levels.
You've done a total 180 man. IceSpear would be proud lol!
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2020, 06:28:43 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on June 03, 2020, 04:18:56 PM
Quote from: President Biden on June 03, 2020, 09:45:56 AM
Safe R, if Biden flips this than Trump is losing at 1980 levels.
You've done a total 180 man. IceSpear would be proud lol!
Yeah, I've started to be more realistic and less hackish when it comes to my predictions (try to be less optimistic), but even before I would still have considered this Likely R.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #5 on: June 03, 2020, 07:53:47 PM »
I only know of this county’s existence because of Bob Dylan Tongue
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #6 on: June 04, 2020, 09:29:17 AM »
Likely R. If Biden is winning this, he is both easily winning statewide and nationally in a landslide
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: June 04, 2020, 02:29:53 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2020, 02:35:34 PM by RussFeingoldWasRobbed »
Even if Biden somehow manages to win OH, he's still not winning this. Delaware would flip first
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #8 on: June 04, 2020, 08:58:07 PM »
R win, but smaller than in 2016.
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