CNBC/Change Research: Trump+1 in 6 swing states
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Author Topic: CNBC/Change Research: Trump+1 in 6 swing states  (Read 823 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 22, 2020, 09:44:27 AM »
CNBC/Change Research Poll in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin: April 17-18, 2020

48% Trump
47% Biden

Was Trump+5 a few weeks ago.

https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-3

They polled almost 6.000 people in those states, but didn't manage to post the results for each state ...
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2020, 09:50:17 AM »
I mean this as respectfully as possible, but its mind blowing how pervasive Change Research has become in the last few years. Their accuracy has been questionable at best, yet News Organizations and campaigns have all started doing business with them. Hopefully they've improved since 2018.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2020, 09:52:45 AM »
Quote from: #Klobmentum on April 22, 2020, 09:50:17 AM
I mean this as respectfully as possible, but its mind blowing how pervasive Change Research has become in the last few years. Their accuracy has been questionable at best, yet News Organizations and campaigns have all started doing business with them. Hopefully they've improved since 2018.

The fact that they don't even manage to publish the results of each state shows that they have no clue ...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: April 22, 2020, 10:11:20 AM »
Quote from: #Klobmentum on April 22, 2020, 09:50:17 AM
I mean this as respectfully as possible, but its mind blowing how pervasive Change Research has become in the last few years. Their accuracy has been questionable at best, yet News Organizations and campaigns have all started doing business with them. Hopefully they've improved since 2018.

It's because they are super cheap.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: April 22, 2020, 10:17:23 AM »
This is more likely than those +8 numbers, but Biden doesnt need AZ, NC and FL. He only needs Wi/PA/MI to flip
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
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« Reply #5 on: April 22, 2020, 10:42:47 AM »
This is such a dumb way to report polling results...
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Pollster
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« Reply #6 on: April 22, 2020, 10:50:18 AM »
Quote from: #Klobmentum on April 22, 2020, 09:50:17 AM
I mean this as respectfully as possible, but its mind blowing how pervasive Change Research has become in the last few years. Their accuracy has been questionable at best, yet News Organizations and campaigns have all started doing business with them. Hopefully they've improved since 2018.

Their methodology is inexpensive, and is much better tailored for some geographies/regions than others. Since their founding they've also hired some impressive names. I've heard that their internal/client work is more exhaustively done than their public work which is not uncommon, but can't personally confirm.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: April 22, 2020, 12:06:51 PM »
Trump +1 is certainly more buy-able than Trump +5 but still seems too high and then there's the fact that this is Change Research after all
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AGA
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« Reply #8 on: April 22, 2020, 01:25:23 PM »
Can we ban these "swing state" polls?
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Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror
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« Reply #9 on: April 22, 2020, 01:39:00 PM »
Certifiable sh!t-tier polling methodology. There is literally no reason not to break down a 6000 person sample size by state, the margin of error would barely even change. It is taking a useful data set and reporting it in a way that eliminates data. I have no idea why they would do this.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: April 22, 2020, 03:21:31 PM »
How are they still getting work after the primary?
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: April 22, 2020, 07:07:33 PM »
More of these?
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