SC (UMass Lowell) - Biden 23, Sanders 21, Steyer 13, Butt/Warren 11
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  SC (UMass Lowell) - Biden 23, Sanders 21, Steyer 13, Butt/Warren 11		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: SC (UMass Lowell) - Biden 23, Sanders 21, Steyer 13, Butt/Warren 11  (Read 1369 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« on: February 19, 2020, 02:39:14 PM »
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Matty
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« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2020, 02:39:58 PM »
https://t.co/MdgOInR9fJ?amp=1

Biden: 23%
Sanders: 21%
Steyer: 13%
Buttigieg: 11%
Warren: 11%
Klobuchar: 9%
Gabbard: 4%
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2020, 02:40:17 PM »
It’s clear Biden won’t win SC big (if he wins it at all) which means he’s doa
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2020, 02:43:42 PM »
African American voters:

Biden 43%
Sanders 20%
Steyer 19%


White voters:

Sanders 23%
Buttigieg 16%
Klobuchar 15%
Warren 14%
Biden 11%
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redjohn
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« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2020, 02:44:05 PM »
Joe needs to win in NV or it's over. It's already too late for him to win the nomination, but if he doesn't win NV he probably drops after SC.
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RI
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« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2020, 02:44:13 PM »
Just looking at the crosstabs, this poll seems to be undersampling black voters. If Biden is at 43% with black voters, he's getting a lot more than 23% statewide.
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jaichind
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« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2020, 02:44:23 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on February 19, 2020, 02:40:17 PM
It’s clear Biden won’t win SC big (if he wins it at all) which means he’s doa

I think a narrow Biden victory does allow him to limp into ST and still get a good bloc of delegates.  I agree a narrow victory rules out a Biden delegate plurality
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2020, 02:45:37 PM »
They underpolled Pete by 8% in NH.

17% vs. 25% in reality.

Crappy Uni poll.

Basically a 3-way tie for 1st place if you factor this in ...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2020, 03:04:18 PM »
Its virtually a tie, Biden has to win, or he will lose
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n1240
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« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2020, 03:13:18 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 19, 2020, 02:44:13 PM
Just looking at the crosstabs, this poll seems to be undersampling black voters. If Biden is at 43% with black voters, he's getting a lot more than 23% statewide.

Likewise, Pete probably isn't at 11% statewide with 3% of black voters. Seems like they've almost inverted the black/white proportions from 2016.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: February 19, 2020, 03:16:09 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 19, 2020, 02:44:13 PM
Just looking at the crosstabs, this poll seems to be undersampling black voters. If Biden is at 43% with black voters, he's getting a lot more than 23% statewide.

Correct. His lead should probably be at least high single digits.

I think Biden probably survives here although I guess the NV result will have some say over that.
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Gone to Carolina
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« Reply #11 on: February 19, 2020, 03:22:47 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 19, 2020, 02:44:13 PM
Just looking at the crosstabs, this poll seems to be undersampling black voters. If Biden is at 43% with black voters, he's getting a lot more than 23% statewide.

Yeah, just doing some quick math, weighting the racial cross tabs to the 2016 electorate would have Biden leading Sanders by 10 (30 to 20), though this doesn't include voters who are neither white nor black. 
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #12 on: February 19, 2020, 03:27:09 PM »
Pretty bad poll here. Pete is not getting 11% statewide with 3% of the black vote.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #13 on: February 19, 2020, 03:49:54 PM »

I mean, that is not exactly wrong. If you don't win, you lose.
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Roblox
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« Reply #14 on: February 19, 2020, 04:06:22 PM »
Biden is SURGING and CRUSHING Sanders in one of his firewalls by an OVERWHELMING margin of two points.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #15 on: February 19, 2020, 04:32:42 PM »
Quote from: Extreme Candidate Vetting on February 19, 2020, 04:06:22 PM
Biden is SURGING and CRUSHING Sanders in one of his firewalls by an OVERWHELMING margin of two points.

Biden comeback incoming.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: February 19, 2020, 06:10:14 PM »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 19, 2020, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: Extreme Candidate Vetting on February 19, 2020, 04:06:22 PM
Biden is SURGING and CRUSHING Sanders in one of his firewalls by an OVERWHELMING margin of two points.

Biden comeback incoming.

Biden was supposed to win in NV, SC doesn't matter all that much if Biden wins, the rest of the South have Bloomberg taking votes away from Biden
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