Bush approval ratings across all 50 states.

[MissCatholic]

http://www.surveyusa.com/50State2006/50StateBush060117Approval.htm

[MODU]

So much for the concept that his rating would fall through the floor.

[TheresNoMoney]

So much for the concept that his rating would fall through the floor.

41% nationally is quite horrible, although it's bounced back slightly from when he was in the high 30's.

[MODU]

So much for the concept that his rating would fall through the floor.

41% nationally is quite horrible, although it's bounced back slightly from when he was in the high 30's.

The average of the popularity contest polls is 43.6% on RCP.  Survery USA is 5% worse than the next lowest result, which is CNN/USA/Gallup with 43:53.  But if using the worst poll in the bunch makes you feel better, by all means, do so. 

[TheresNoMoney]

43.6% is not much better.

[MODU]

43.6% is not much better.

Didn't say it was (of course, I have stated time and again that in-term popularity polls aren't worth the paper they're written on).  Just stating that it wasn't coincidence that the worst-showing poll of the bunch was the one used.

[minionofmidas]

HERE IS A MAP:

I don't quite get this map...is this a prediction?

Here's the poll's results in map form (red=disapprove, blue=approve)

[opebo]

Here's a map assuming a 10% swing in Bush's favour from the status quo:


And here's one assuming a 15% swing towards him:

[°Leprechaun]

I changed the states which went for Bush, but where his approval is below 50% to grey. And shaded the so called 'blue' states (Bush states) on a scale. Those where he is at 50% are light blue, for example.

[minionofmidas]

Here's a map assuming a 10% swing in Bush's favour from the status quo:
And here's one assuming a 15% swing towards him:

276 D 262 R. Neat map, some interesting changes on 2004.

[opebo]

Here's a map assuming a 10% swing in Bush's favour from the status quo:
And here's one assuming a 15% swing towards him:

276 D 262 R. Neat map, some interesting changes on 2004.

Thanks Lewis, that was what I was thinking..

Not a prediction, but Democrats would be wise to exand their definition of 'swing states'.

I think it might suggest that, TC.  Another way of representing the above is that these are the swing states suggested by the popularity ratings, and the direction and degree they are swinging from 2004:

[°Leprechaun]

Here's a map assuming a 10% swing in Bush's favour from the status quo:
And here's one assuming a 15% swing towards him:

276 D 262 R. Neat map, some interesting changes on 2004.

Thanks Lewis, that was what I was thinking..

Not a prediction, but Democrats would be wise to exand their definition of 'swing states'.

I think it might suggest that, TC.  Another way of representing the above is that these are the swing states suggested by the popularity ratings, and the direction and degree they are swinging from 2004:

The Democrat will focus on at least seven of those states and hopefully spend *some* money in all eleven.
Hopefully s/he will include states such as Missouri, Arkansas, Colorado, and Virginia. Otherwise s/he would pin *all*
his/her hopes on Florida and Ohio which would be extremely foolish.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

17 point gap in Minnesota! Hell yes, we rule.

[TheresNoMoney]

17 point gap in Minnesota! Hell yes, we rule.

Hopefully 2006 will be a big year for Minnesota DFL'ers. I think the state is shifting left again.

First order of business is keeping the Senate seat and defeating Pawlenty in the gubernatorial race.

After that, Democrats have the chance to be competitive in 3 of the House seats (MN-01, MN-02 and MN-06 if Wetterling runs).

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

17 point gap in Minnesota! Hell yes, we rule.

Hopefully 2006 will be a big year for Minnesota DFL'ers. I think the state is shifting left again.

First order of business is keeping the Senate seat and defeating Pawlenty in the gubernatorial race.

After that, Democrats have the chance to be competitive in 3 of the House seats (MN-01, MN-02 and MN-06 if Wetterling runs).

I live in MN-1. It's winnable once Gutknecht retires, but not until then. Mostly because none of the top DFLers here will run until he does.

MN-2 will not flip. It's full of the type of awful suburbs I whine about so much.

MN-6 is winnable with Wetterling though. Especially if her opponent is far far right extremist Michele Bachmann.

[Gustaf]

[riceowl]

weren't there only 3 "blue" states 2 months ago?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

weren't there only 3 "blue" states 2 months ago?

That was Cheney's approval rating.

[riceowl]

Ah, there were only 4 two months ago.

http://www.surveyusa.com/50State2005/50StatePOTUS1105SortbyNetApproval.htm

and now there's 12.

[opebo]

Ah, there were only 4 two months ago.

http://www.surveyusa.com/50State2005/50StatePOTUS1105SortbyNetApproval.htm

and now there's 12.

That is why I posted these two useful maps, which show what the future might hold with a not-unlikely swing of 10-15 percent towards the Religious Party:

Here's a map assuming a 10% swing in Bush's favour from the status quo:


And here's one assuming a 15% swing towards him:

[minionofmidas]

Why'd you repost my map and turn the CDs back on?

[ilikeverin]

Why'd you repost my map and turn the CDs back on?

Gustaf is clearly too lazy to read all the posts in a thread before he posts.  Darn social welfare, it makes everyone into a lazy