How will O'Rourke's drop-out impact Texas polls?

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Any idea. O'Rourke did hit double digits in Texas.

[Frenchrepublican]

Either it won't matter or it will help Buttigieg/Warren

[SInNYC]

Many Beto voters did it because of the cool factor. Those will gravitate towards Bernie.

But thats more national than TX. Texans who were for Beto likely move to Bernie if they are young or Hispanic and a mix of Warren and Biden otherwise. But I suspect these 'otherwise' already switched from Beto after his gun proposal.

[W]

O'Rourke's base in Texas from my understanding was mostly the grassroots organizer level who aided his Senate campaign. I could see them leaning maybe 60% Bernie, 30% Warren, 10% to other candidates. It will certainly shake up Texas polls for months to come but I think momentum will be the biggest factor in the result of that primary.

[eric82oslo]

Texas is to a large degree urban/suburban and latino - with a substantial percentage Asians as well in the big cities - and with a much higher percentage of moderate and conservative voters than the average state. So it could end up helping a lot of different types of candidates.

Sanders does well with latinos and the urban crowd for instance. Yang does well with Asians and moderate/conservative voters, at the same time as he has a substantial overlap with Sanders. Besides Beto, Yang has long been considered the only cool candidate in the field. They both skateboard, they both love (punk/goth/80s) rock music, in addition to Yang's crowdsurfing, crashing concerts, singing karaoke, dressing in crazy costumes etcetera.

Relatively speaking however, the one candidate it ought to help the most would be Castro, as the only reason he's never had a substantial amount of followers was because Beto was completely drowning him out in his own state, including among Texas latinos.