Firehouse/Øptimus New Hampshire: Biden Leads Warren 22-16
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  Firehouse/Øptimus New Hampshire: Biden Leads Warren 22-16		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Firehouse/Øptimus New Hampshire: Biden Leads Warren 22-16  (Read 1226 times)
Sorenroy
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« on: July 30, 2019, 01:15:16 PM »
Sample size of 587 likely voters, conducted July 23rd to July 25th. Change is from their previous poll conducted three months ago.

Biden — 22% (-12%)
Warren — 16% (+7%)
Harris — 13% (+6%)
Sanders — 13% (-3%)
Buttigieg — 8% (-2%)
Booker — 1% (±0)
Yang — 1% (-)
O'Rourke — 0% (-3%)

http://firehousestrategies.com/may-2019-survey/

Polls were also done of Iowa and South Carolina, which are posted separately.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2019, 01:22:16 PM »
That's a pretty good poll for Harris in a state that she isn't expected to be too strong in. Excellent for Warren. Very bad for Bernie.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2019, 01:24:14 PM »
If Warren has a one-two knockout punch in Iowa & New Hampshire....
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Politician
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« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2019, 01:25:13 PM »
O'Rourke at 0 lmao
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2019, 01:49:21 PM »
Quote from: Georgia Is A Swing State on July 30, 2019, 01:24:14 PM
If Warren has a one-two knockout punch in Iowa & New Hampshire....

....Continue....
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Mopsus
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« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2019, 01:53:29 PM »
Quote from: Georgia Is A Swing State on July 30, 2019, 01:24:14 PM
If Warren has a one-two knockout punch in Iowa & New Hampshire....

Iowa and New Hampshire almost never vote for the same candidate in competitive primaries though. Though if Biden loses both, it would be interesting to see if even a victory in South Carolina could bring him back.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2019, 02:01:37 PM »
Quote from: Mopolis on July 30, 2019, 01:53:29 PM
Quote from: Georgia Is A Swing State on July 30, 2019, 01:24:14 PM
If Warren has a one-two knockout punch in Iowa & New Hampshire....

Iowa and New Hampshire almost never vote for the same candidate in competitive primaries though. Though if Biden loses both, it would be interesting to see if even a victory in South Carolina could bring him back.

Anyone know which Super Tuesday states tend to have the highest rates of early voting?  I've expressed skepticism that early voting is going to water down the impact of IA/NH, since very few people are voting 3+ weeks early (and those who do are probably the most likely to be committed partisans to their candidate of choice).  But South Carolina is a mere 3 days before Super Tuesday, so I could imagine that its influence might be muted if most of the voters in California have already voted by that point.

OTOH, for states that *don't* have that much early voting, SC might be all the more influential by happening so close to Super Tuesday.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2019, 04:12:36 PM »
Sanders clearly needs to win in IA and NH and that's not happening
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2019, 05:18:51 PM »

Lol remember when Betomania was a thing?
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indietraveler
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« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2019, 05:27:03 PM »
Kind of surprised that Biden has consistently had a small lead in NH polls.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2019, 05:58:05 PM »
Quote from: indietraveler on July 30, 2019, 05:27:03 PM
Kind of surprised that Biden has consistently had a small lead in NH polls.

It's just a summer fling. Most summer flings are usually over by October/November.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2019, 06:55:13 PM »
Quote from: eric82oslo on July 30, 2019, 05:58:05 PM
Quote from: indietraveler on July 30, 2019, 05:27:03 PM
Kind of surprised that Biden has consistently had a small lead in NH polls.

It's just a summer fling. Most summer flings are usually over by October/November.

Still waiting for Trump's to end...
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shua
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« Reply #12 on: July 31, 2019, 10:42:26 AM »
Quote from: eric82oslo on July 30, 2019, 05:58:05 PM
Quote from: indietraveler on July 30, 2019, 05:27:03 PM
Kind of surprised that Biden has consistently had a small lead in NH polls.

It's just a summer fling. Most summer flings are usually over by October/November.

Fireflies by the lake, the sun setting over the mountains
A passionate intensity
He was thrilling and new, but they knew it couldn't last
And in the end she'd have to settle for Bernie

Joe Biden in
"Summer Fling"

Coming this June
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #13 on: August 05, 2019, 06:33:06 PM »

He needs to drop out and stop embarrassing himself.
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