Rate Pennsylvania in 2020
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Rate Pennsylvania in 2020		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Poll
Question: this
#1
Likely D		  
#2
Lean D		  
#3
Tilt D		  
#4
Tossup		  
#5
Tilt R		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Likely R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 113

Author Topic: Rate Pennsylvania in 2020  (Read 2027 times)
MarkD
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: September 24, 2018, 06:16:38 PM »
I rate PA Likely D, because I rate the whole national election as Likely D. I don't need to point out how close PA was last time, or how many times it voted D in the last 30 years.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
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United States


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E: -1.48, S: 3.91

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« Reply #26 on: September 26, 2018, 12:03:24 AM »
Lean R
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yakutia
boatfullogoats
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Israel


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E: 1.16, S: -2.78

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« Reply #27 on: October 08, 2018, 05:53:09 PM »
Toss up. Lean Dem if Biden is the nominee. Lean Rep if Sanders is.
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #28 on: October 08, 2018, 08:54:57 PM »
Such a toss-up that I'm hesitant to say tilt one way or the other
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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E: 4.39, S: 2.26

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« Reply #29 on: October 11, 2018, 01:03:09 PM »
Toss-up. Of the Trump 2016 states, I'd only say Michigan is Lean D.
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S019
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Ukraine


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E: -4.13, S: -1.39

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« Reply #30 on: June 04, 2019, 07:48:34 PM »
Tilt D
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« Reply #31 on: June 04, 2019, 07:50:33 PM »
Pure Tossup
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #32 on: June 04, 2019, 07:52:37 PM »
Tilt D, Biden will win it by two 50-48%, Erie County will flip to Biden by 2 points.
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Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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E: -8.00, S: -7.65

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« Reply #33 on: June 04, 2019, 09:26:56 PM »
Tossup. I am still unconvinced of the conventional wisdom that Pennsylvania is guaranteed to shift heavily toward the Democrats, or that Biden has some unique appeal here.
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #34 on: June 04, 2019, 11:41:52 PM »
Quote from: gracile on June 04, 2019, 09:26:56 PM
Tossup. I am still unconvinced of the conventional wisdom that Pennsylvania is guaranteed to shift heavily toward the Democrats, or that Biden has some unique appeal here.

Ask Senator Barletta and Governor Wagner about this.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #35 on: June 05, 2019, 07:08:20 AM »
Lean D

Biden wins 52/47
Sanders wins 51/47
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538Electoral
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« Reply #36 on: June 05, 2019, 06:10:24 PM »
Toss-up.
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redeagleofficial
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« Reply #37 on: June 06, 2019, 06:23:02 PM »
I dont know why people dont get this, but PA turnout was UP in Trump's win in 2016 over 2012.  This is a pure tossup, if Biden is the nominee it tilts blue (but Trump can still win) but otherwise it tilts red.
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Ilhan Apologist
Glowfish
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« Reply #38 on: June 06, 2019, 09:35:19 PM »
Quote from: TML on June 04, 2019, 11:41:52 PM
Quote from: gracile on June 04, 2019, 09:26:56 PM
Tossup. I am still unconvinced of the conventional wisdom that Pennsylvania is guaranteed to shift heavily toward the Democrats, or that Biden has some unique appeal here.

Ask Senator Barletta and Governor Wagner about this.

Breaking news: every state that went blue in 2018 is safe D in 2020.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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« Reply #39 on: June 06, 2019, 11:51:46 PM »
If Joe is the nominee, Likely D.

If another Dem is the nominee, Toss-up-to-Lean D.
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AN63093
63093
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« Reply #40 on: June 07, 2019, 08:49:58 AM »
Toss-up.  I hate this phrase and think it's overused... but this really is an appropriate place to say "it's too early to tell."

I don't see it moving more than lean R or D in either direction, yes, even if Biden is the nominee (though I am fairly confident he would do better in the state than, say, Harris).  Though, again, "it's too early to tell."

Tough to see a route for either party if they don't win PA.  Both parties can find states elsewhere, but losing PA will decrease a party's chances substantially.  There's a good chance that PA ends up being not only the closest state in the country, but also where the election's decided.
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