2020 Ratings - RESULTS (Fall 2019)

Changes from Spring in parenthesis.

Arizona

Lean D: 7.0% (+5.3%)
Toss-Up: 82.2% (+2.4%)
Lean R: 9.6% (-8.4%)
Likely R: 1.3% (+0.7%)

Democratic: 51.6% (+19.0%)
Republican: 48.4% (-19.0%)

Colorado

Safe D: 24.0% (+0.7%)
Likely D: 64.6% (+3.0%)
Lean D: 7.3% (-5.3%)
Toss-Up: 4.1% (+1.5%)

Democratic: 99.0% (+0.3%)
Republican: 1.0% (-0.3%)

Florida

Likely D: 0.9% (-0.3%)
Lean D: 0.9% (+0.3%)
Toss-Up: 72.7% (+10.1%)
Lean R: 21.8% (-7.7%)
Likely R: 3.6% (-2.4%)

Democratic: 12.7% (+6.7%)
Republican: 87.3% (-6.7%)

Georgia

Lean D: 1.7% (+1.7%)
Toss-Up: 32.5% (+12.5%)
Lean R: 51.3% (+0.5%)
Likely R: 11.1% (-14.3%)
Safe R: 3.4% (-0.4%)

Democratic: 6.0% (+4.5%)
Republican: 94.0% (-4.5%)

Iowa

Lean D: 2.3% (+1.4%)
Toss-Up: 24.8% (+3.7%)
Lean R: 45.1% (+13.0%)
Likely R: 26.3% (-16.8%)
Safe R: 1.5% (-1.3%)

Democratic: 11.3% (+8.6%)
Republican: 88.7% (-8.6%)

Maine

Safe D: 11.4% (+3.8%)
Likely D: 29.8% (+2.7%)
Lean D: 41.2% (-2.9%)
Toss-Up: 17.6% (-1.9%)
Lean R: 0.0% (-1.7%)

Democratic: 95.6% (+2.4%)
Republican: 4.4% (-2.4%)

Maine's 2nd

Lean D: 1.4% (-1.7%)
Toss-Up: 28.6% (-3.1%)
Lean R: 37.1% (+5.5%)
Likely R: 30.0% (+0.4%)
Safe R: 2.9% (-1.2%)

Democratic: 10.0% (-1.3%)
Republican: 90.0% (+1.3%)

Michigan

Likely D: 8.3% (+5.3%)
Lean D: 48.6% (+13.6%)
Toss-Up: 41.3% (-16.7%)
Lean R: 1.8% (-1.2%)
Likely R: 0.0% (-1.0%)

Democratic: 91.8% (+7.8%)
Republican: 8.2% (-7.8%)

Minnesota

Safe D: 6.8% (+0.1%)
Likely D: 42.4% (-2.6%)
Lean D: 33.1% (+2.3%)
Toss-Up: 17.0% (-0.5%)
Lean R: 0.8% (+0.8%)

Democratic: 94.1% (-0.1%)
Republican: 5.9% (+0.1%)

Nebraska's 2nd

Lean D: 5.8% (+4.8%)
Toss-Up: 71.1% (+5.7%)
Lean R: 21.2% (-10.5%)
Likely R: 1.9% (0)

Democratic: 42.3% (+22.1%)
Republican: 57.7% (-22.1%)

Nevada

Safe D: 5.8% (+0.8%)
Likely D: 46.0% (+6.4%)
Lean D: 35.3% (-4.3%)
Toss-Up: 13.0% (-1.9%)
Lean R: 0.0% (-1.0%)

Democratic: 97.8% (-0.2%)
Republican: 2.2% (+0.2%)

New Hampshire

Safe D: 2.0% (-0.9%)
Likely D: 18.6% (+5.4%)
Lean D: 49.0% (+4.1%)
Toss-Up: 30.4% (-7.9%)
Lean R: 0.0% (-0.7%)

Democratic: 93.1% (+3.4%)
Republican: 6.9% (-3.4%)

North Carolina

Toss-Up: 59.1% (+23.9%)
Lean R: 36.4% (-18.5%)
Likely R: 4.5% (-4.3%)
Safe R: 0.0% (-1.1%)

Democratic: 16.4% (+12.0%)
Republican: 83.6% (-12.0%)

Ohio

Lean D: 1.0% (+1.0%)
Toss-Up: 14.5% (+3.5%)
Lean R: 29.1% (+2.0%)
Likely R: 41.7% (-13.4%)
Safe R: 13.6% (+6.8%)

Democratic: 2.9% (+0.4%)
Republican: 97.1% (-0.4%)

Pennsylvania

Likely D: 3.2% (+1.7%)
Lean D: 33.9% (+5.4%)
Toss-Up: 61.3% (-6.6%)
Lean R: 1.6% (+0.9%)
Likely R: 0.0% (-1.5%)

Democratic: 87.1% (+6.1%)
Republican: 12.9% (-6.1%)

Texas

Toss-Up: 13.1% (+6.1%)
Lean R: 35.8% (+1.6%)
Likely R: 44.5% (-5.0%)
Safe R: 6.6% (-2.6%)

Democratic: 2.9% (+1.3%)
Republican: 97.1% (-1.3%)

Virginia

Safe D: 50.7% (+13.1%)
Likely D: 33.1% (-17.3%)
Lean D: 11.8% (+3.3%)
Toss-Up: 4.4% (+1.0%)

Democratic: 97.8% (-0.5%)
Republican: 2.2% (+0.5%)

Wisconsin

Likely D: 1.5% (-1.6%)
Lean D: 11.7% (+2.3%)
Toss-Up: 84.7% (+2.1%)
Lean R: 2.2% (-2.8%)

Democratic: 65.7% (+4.5%)
Republican: 34.3% (-4.5%)

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