Rate WI in Trump vs Sanders
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  Rate WI in Trump vs Sanders
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Poll
Question: Rate WI
#1
Safe Trump
 
#2
Likely Trump
 
#3
Lean Trump
 
#4
Tilt Trump
 
#5
Tossup
 
#6
Tilt Sanders
 
#7
Lean Sanders
 
#8
Likely Sanders
 
#9
Safe Sanders
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 57

Author Topic: Rate WI in Trump vs Sanders  (Read 570 times)
Old Man Willow
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« on: February 19, 2019, 05:08:04 PM »

Consensus on Atlas seems to be Likely Trump
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2019, 05:10:05 PM »

Likely Sanders
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2019, 05:12:06 PM »

Generic Dem 51-49 WI over Trump
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2019, 05:15:55 PM »

Tossup

Sanders would push Trump above 65% in Waukesha county because many conservative voters who can be considered as ,,Trump sceptics,, would hold their nose and vote against Sanders. At the same time Sanders could win close to 77% of the vote in Dane County and could improve compared to Clinton in the western parts of the state.
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2019, 05:19:52 PM »

Lean Sanders.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2019, 05:21:47 PM »

Tilt D.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2019, 05:24:15 PM »

Safe Sanders
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Da2017
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2019, 05:25:38 PM »
« Edited: February 19, 2019, 11:59:18 PM by Da2017 »

He is one of the best fits for the State. Probably lean to likly.
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Politician
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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2019, 06:16:14 PM »

Lean D, Sanders flips Kenosha, Sauk, Columbia, Richland, Vernon, Crawford, Grant, Lafayette and Door and possibly Winnebago or Racine.
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walleye26
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« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2019, 07:35:35 PM »

I live in WI and I don't see it being likely Trump. Many college students and young people voted third-party in 2016, and I don't see them doing so again. I see Kenosha county flipping blue as well as Winnebago County, with Sanders doing much better in college counties such as Dunn, Portage, Grant, and Eau Claire.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: February 19, 2019, 07:37:42 PM »

Sorry, but it's still a tossup.
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Cuca_Beludo
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« Reply #11 on: February 19, 2019, 07:40:35 PM »

I live in WI and I don't see it being likely Trump. Many college students and young people voted third-party in 2016, and I don't see them doing so again. I see Kenosha county flipping blue as well as Winnebago County, with Sanders doing much better in college counties such as Dunn, Portage, Grant, and Eau Claire.

Well, there are 0 "likely Trump" votes here. But there are many "likely Sanders" votes.

Wisconsin is obviously likely/safe D. Just like 2016.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #12 on: February 19, 2019, 11:58:01 PM »

Lean Sanders
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TML
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« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2019, 12:37:57 AM »

The 2016 result in WI is largely explained by depressed Democratic turnout. All it would have taken was a slight increase in Democratic turnout for the result to go the other way. Sanders is someone who can definitely increase turnout among Democratic base voters, so I think his chances of retaking WI from Trump is greater than 5 in 6.
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Big Abraham
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« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2019, 12:59:05 AM »

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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2019, 01:15:52 AM »

Tossup

Sanders would push Trump above 65% in Waukesha county because many conservative voters who can be considered as ,,Trump sceptics,, would hold their nose and vote against Sanders. At the same time Sanders could win close to 77% of the vote in Dane County and could improve compared to Clinton in the western parts of the state.

We'll see.
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Dillon
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« Reply #16 on: February 20, 2019, 01:19:59 AM »

Trump won Wisconsin by voters who would have overwhelming voted Bernie given the choice.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #17 on: February 20, 2019, 01:35:09 AM »

Tossup

Sanders would push Trump above 65% in Waukesha county because many conservative voters who can be considered as ,,Trump sceptics,, would hold their nose and vote against Sanders. At the same time Sanders could win close to 77% of the vote in Dane County and could improve compared to Clinton in the western parts of the state.

We'll see.

We are talking about very conservative voters who hate higher taxes, unions and everything what Sanders represents.
Even Vukmir won 62% of the vote in Waukesha despite the democratic wave.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2019, 01:37:27 AM »

Tossup

Sanders would push Trump above 65% in Waukesha county because many conservative voters who can be considered as ,,Trump sceptics,, would hold their nose and vote against Sanders. At the same time Sanders could win close to 77% of the vote in Dane County and could improve compared to Clinton in the western parts of the state.

We'll see.

We are talking about very conservative voters who hate higher taxes, unions and everything what Sanders represents.
Even Vukmir won 62% of the vote in Waukesha despite the democratic wave.

62% is still low for Waukesha.

Like I said, we'll see.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #19 on: February 20, 2019, 01:44:29 AM »

Tossup

Sanders would push Trump above 65% in Waukesha county because many conservative voters who can be considered as ,,Trump sceptics,, would hold their nose and vote against Sanders. At the same time Sanders could win close to 77% of the vote in Dane County and could improve compared to Clinton in the western parts of the state.

We'll see.

We are talking about very conservative voters who hate higher taxes, unions and everything what Sanders represents.
Even Vukmir won 62% of the vote in Waukesha despite the democratic wave.

62% is still low for Waukesha.

Like I said, we'll see.

Trump was under 60% in 2016, if he can improve a few points in this county he can afford a Sanders surge in Dane, and in my opinion Trump would do well against Sanders in Waukesha simply because Sanders will frighten Conservative voters
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #20 on: February 20, 2019, 01:48:58 AM »

Lean Sanders....

Not only do Obama '12 > Trump '16 voters come back home, but 3rd Party Candidate voters, many of whom were Green and Libertarian Voters will show up to vote in a hypothetical Trump vs Sanders matchup.

Perhaps most significantly Trump's Fav's have dropped hardest among Seniors since the failed attempt to overturn ACA, and these would be the "classic swing voters" of OH that I would look at most closely within many parts of the Upper Midwest.....
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #21 on: February 20, 2019, 01:49:48 AM »

Tossup

Sanders would push Trump above 65% in Waukesha county because many conservative voters who can be considered as ,,Trump sceptics,, would hold their nose and vote against Sanders. At the same time Sanders could win close to 77% of the vote in Dane County and could improve compared to Clinton in the western parts of the state.

We'll see.

We are talking about very conservative voters who hate higher taxes, unions and everything what Sanders represents.
Even Vukmir won 62% of the vote in Waukesha despite the democratic wave.

62% is still low for Waukesha.

Like I said, we'll see.

Trump was under 60% in 2016, if he can improve a few points in this county he can afford a Sanders surge in Dane, and in my opinion Trump would do well against Sanders in Waukesha simply because Sanders will frighten Conservative voters

We'll see.
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