Give your chances of these possible candidates at winning these seats:
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  Give your chances of these possible candidates at winning these seats:
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Author Topic: Give your chances of these possible candidates at winning these seats:  (Read 525 times)
TheBeardedOne
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« on: January 09, 2019, 11:07:47 PM »

Bullock vs Daines

Hickenlooper vs Gardner

Gideon vs Collins

Gallego vs McSally and Stanton vs McSally

O’Rourke vs Cornyn

Abrams vs Perdue

Jones vs Ivey and Jones vs Aderholt and Jones vs Brooks and Jones vs Byrne and Jones vs Marshall
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #1 on: January 10, 2019, 02:11:09 AM »

Bullock vs Daines
Bolder is winner. % is chance of bolded candidate winning.

Hickenlooper vs Gardner (75%)

Gideon vs Collins (85%)

Gallego vs McSally (60%) and Stanton vs McSally (80%)

O’Rourke vs Cornyn (80%)

Abrams vs Perdue (95%)

Jones vs Ivey (99%) and Jones vs Aderholt (99%) and Jones vs Brooks (99%). and Jones vs Byrne (99%) and Jones vs Marshall (95%)
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andjey
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« Reply #2 on: January 10, 2019, 02:15:10 AM »
« Edited: January 10, 2019, 08:30:38 AM by АndriуValeriovich »

Bolder is winner. % is chance of bolded candidate winning

Bullock vs Daines (75%)

Hickenlooper vs Gardner (90%)

Gideon vs Collins (90%)

Gallego vs McSally (60%) and Stanton vs McSally (70%)

O’Rourke vs Cornyn (70%)

Abrams vs Perdue (80%)

Jones vs Ivey (99%) and Jones vs Aderholt (90%) and Jones vs Brooks (90%). and Jones vs Byrne (99%) and Jones vs Marshall (85%)
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Politician
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« Reply #3 on: January 10, 2019, 07:57:18 AM »

Bullock 60%
Hickenlooper 90%
Gideon 55%
Gallego 75%, Stanton 80%
Cornyn 55%
Perdue 60%
Ivey 95%, Aderholt 95%, Brooks 90%, Bryne 95%, Marshall 85%
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: January 10, 2019, 12:41:29 PM »

Wayyyy too many unknown variables this far out, but okay...

Bullock vs Daines: Bullock (67%)

Hickenlooper vs Gardner: Hickenlooper (99%)

Gideon vs Collins: Collins (90%)

Gallego vs McSally and Stanton vs McSally: Gallego (85%), Stanton (85%)

O’Rourke vs Cornyn: Cornyn (90%)

Abrams vs Perdue: Perdue (90%)

Jones vs Ivey: Ivey (97%)

Jones vs Aderholt: Aderholt (85%)

Jones vs Brooks: Brooks (83%)

Jones vs Byrne: Byrne (96%)

Jones vs Marshall: Marshall (85%)
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #5 on: January 10, 2019, 03:02:01 PM »

Bullock vs Daines : 70% chance of a Daines victory

Hickenlooper vs Gardner : 80% chance of a Hickenlooper victory

Gideon vs Collins : 80% chance of a Collins victory

Gallego vs McSally and Stanton vs McSally : 65% chance of a McSally victory against Gallego but only a 50% chance of victory against Stanton

O’Rourke vs Cornyn : 80% chance of a Cornyn victory

Abrams vs Perdue : 80% chance of a Perdue victory

Jones vs Ivey and Jones vs Aderholt and Jones vs Brooks and Jones vs Byrne and Jones vs Marshall : Every republican candidate would have a 96% chance of victory
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lfromnj
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« Reply #6 on: January 10, 2019, 03:06:16 PM »

Hickenlooper is IMO closer to a scott than a retread.

He basically shuts out gardner and locks up the race before the summer.
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