% of Hispanic&Other. Fox News Midterm 2018 Voter Analysis(Sen,Gov)

[swords]

Fox News 2018 Voter Analysis

Fox News has launched an improved approach for analyzing Americans’ priorities and vote preferences on Election Day. The Fox News Voter Analysis combines survey data from NORC at the University of Chicago with voting results from The Associated Press. As more people vote early or by mail, the new method overcomes the limitations of in-person exit polls and captures the views of all Americans by integrating probability-based, state-by-state surveys with a massive online poll. The FNVA survey will show results from all 47 states in which there is a contested statewide election this November.

https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis


FL Sen
                      Total     Nelson      Scott
Hispanic         15%       54%         45%


AZ Sen
                      Total   Sinema      McSally
Hispanic         16%       67%         30%


PA Gov
                      Total       Wolf       Wagner
Hispanic          3%        62%         33%


VA Sen
                      Total      Kaine    Stewart
Hispanic          4%         63%         33%


NV Gov
                      Total     Sisolak      Laxalt
Hispanic         13%        62%          31%


TX Sen
                      Total     O'rourke      Cruz
Hispanic         22%        69%          30%

TX Gov
                      Total      Valdez      Abbott
Hispanic         22%        63%          35%


CO Gov
                      Total       Polis      Stapleton
Hispanic         10%        71%         25%


GA Gov
                      Total      Abrams     Kemp
Hispanic          3%         56%         39%


'Other' is not Hispanic group

WI Gov
                      Total       Evers       Walker
Other              4%         47%         48%


MI Sen
                     Total     Stabenow   James
Other              3%         56%         38%


MN Sen Special
                      Total      Smith       Housley
Other             4%          55%         37%

 

[swords]

Non-Battle ground states

MA Sen
                      Total     Warren    Diehl    Ayyadurai
Hispanic          6%       64%         33%         2%


NJ Sen
                      Total    Menedez  Hugin     
Hispanic          11%     66%         27%         

NY Gov
                      Total     Cuomo    Molinaro
Hispanic         11%       74%        21%


WA Sen
                      Total    Cantwell  Hutchison
Hispanic           5%       72%        27%         

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Huh, WI Hispanics broke just ever so slightly for Walker.  Otherwise, it wasn't even close anywhere else. 

[BlueSwan]

TX Sen
                      Total     O'rourke      Cruz
Hispanic         22%        69%          30%

TX Gov
                      Total      Valdez      Abbott
Hispanic         22%        63%          35%

I like those numbers. So much for identity politics! White Beto O'Rourke clearly outperforming hispanic Lupe Valdez amongst hispanics, while running against a hispanic (Cruz) and Valdez was running against an old white guy (Greg Abbott).

[wbrocks67]

The Fox and CNN exit polls really wildly differ. Latinos are at 7% in the CNN and only at 3% in Fox. With how the Hispanic population is increasing in PA, I'll take the 7%.

[henster]

Small sample sizes usually have big errors, the Hispanic voter population in the Rust Belt is tiny especially so in WI so the #'s aren't worth much.

[swords]

Small sample sizes usually have big errors, the Hispanic voter population in the Rust Belt is tiny especially so in WI so the #'s aren't worth much.

WI Results is not about Hispanic.  'Other' race

[swords]

The Fox and CNN exit polls really wildly differ. Latinos are at 7% in the CNN and only at 3% in Fox. With how the Hispanic population is increasing in PA, I'll take the 7%.

I guess 5.5-6% is reasonable.