Can Dems win any of MI, WI, PA, OH, IA, FL, NC, AZ, or GA?
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  Can Dems win any of MI, WI, PA, OH, IA, FL, NC, AZ, or GA?
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Question: Can Dems win any of these?
#1
All of them
 
#2
Some of them
 
#3
None of them
 
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Total Voters: 62

Author Topic: Can Dems win any of MI, WI, PA, OH, IA, FL, NC, AZ, or GA?  (Read 645 times)
538Electoral
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« on: December 04, 2018, 01:13:02 AM »

I think it's possible if the Dem is really good.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #1 on: December 04, 2018, 01:21:41 AM »

I don’t know about Ohio, and to a lesser extent Iowa. Dems can probably win the rest, but highly unlikely to win all of them barring a landslide.
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America Needs R'hllor
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« Reply #2 on: December 04, 2018, 01:22:45 AM »

Any of them? Yes, very possible, even if the Dem isn't good. All of them? Unlikely, especially Ohio\Iowa, but maybe if it's a landslide.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: December 04, 2018, 04:57:29 AM »
« Edited: December 04, 2018, 06:31:52 AM by Cory Booker »

Dems can win IA, VA which will clinch 272-279; however, Dems win by 4 looks like the 2012 Obama map😀
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #4 on: December 04, 2018, 04:54:20 PM »

Can? Yes
Will? Probably not.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: December 04, 2018, 05:07:37 PM »

I said some of them, but here's the order I expect them to flip in (with PA and MI pretty much tied).

1. PA
2. MI
3. WI
4. FL
5. AZ
6. NC
7. GA
8. IA
9. OH
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #6 on: December 04, 2018, 05:43:17 PM »

Can win any one of them; will almost certainly not win all of them
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lfromnj
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« Reply #7 on: December 04, 2018, 05:45:10 PM »

I said some of them, but here's the order I expect them to flip in (with PA and MI pretty much tied).

1. PA
2. MI
3. WI
4. FL
5. AZ
6. NC
7. GA
8. IA
9. OH
Switch fl and az and that's my orders also texas is either before or after iowa imo
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MarkD
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« Reply #8 on: December 04, 2018, 06:13:16 PM »

Can win any one of them; will almost certainly not win all of them

Unless, like Parrotguy said, the election is a landslide loss for Trump, which I predict will happen. I think all of those states will flip D, along with several others.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: December 04, 2018, 06:49:27 PM »

Can win all of them + ME-02 and NE-02, but basically

MI+PA+WI highly likely because of the the House results (278) -- 90% for the three
IA likely 70%
AZ about 55%
FL about 40%
NC, OH about 30% each
GA about 20%
TX about 5%
IN, MT about 2% each

My guess
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: December 04, 2018, 06:51:59 PM »
« Edited: December 04, 2018, 07:09:39 PM by Progressive Pessimist »

As I see it; Arizona, Iowa, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are all tossups. The rest are lean R. So, yes they can definitely win some of them or, at worst, none of them (again). Winning all of them can only happen if literally everything goes right for the Democrat in the right environment.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #11 on: December 04, 2018, 07:06:59 PM »

The main goal is to get back the three lost in 2016 (PA, WI, MI)--all quite doable.

Then, the most likely pickup is AZ (and would not give up on FL or IA).
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #12 on: December 04, 2018, 09:01:13 PM »

They could possibly win any of them, but I doubt they'll run the table.

OH and GA are the most out of reach.
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SN2903
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« Reply #13 on: December 04, 2018, 11:41:39 PM »

The only states listed they have a chance in are MI, WI, PA. That's it but I doubt they win even 1 of them. If they pick 1 up my guess is it would be PA.

OH, IA are gone and NC, AZ, GA and FL are solid lean R states at this point.
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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: December 05, 2018, 12:29:46 AM »

"Some of them" is the correct answer, unless it's a wave election.
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Lognog
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« Reply #15 on: December 05, 2018, 12:37:03 AM »

At least half of those I would say. Ohio and Iowa I doubt. MI WI AZ are pure toss ups IMO and I think many people underestimate Trump here. PA I would say is tilt D. NC tilt R, GA lean R
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