How would different Democratic Candidates perform against Trump in FL
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Author Topic: How would different Democratic Candidates perform against Trump in FL  (Read 437 times)
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Computer89
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« on: November 10, 2018, 08:35:23 PM »
This is what I think:

Kamala Harris: Trump wins by 4 points
Bernie Sanders: Trump wins by 1 point
Elizabeth Warren: Trump wins by 5 points
Joe Biden: Trump wins by 0.1 points
Kirsten Gillibrand: Trump wins by 4 points
Cory Booker: Trump wins by .7 points
Sherrod Brown: Trump wins by 2 points
Steve Bullock: Bullock wins by .5 points
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2018, 10:30:28 AM »
Quote from: Old School Republican on November 10, 2018, 08:35:23 PM
This is what I think:

Kamala Harris: Trump wins by 4 points
Bernie Sanders: Trump wins by 1 point
Elizabeth Warren: Trump wins by 5 points
Joe Biden: Trump wins by 0.1 points
Kirsten Gillibrand: Trump wins by 4 points
Cory Booker: Trump wins by .7 points
Sherrod Brown: Trump wins by 2 points
Steve Bullock: Bullock wins by .5 points



Switch Booker with Harris and this looks reasonable
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andjey
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« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2018, 10:45:25 AM »

Kamala Harris: Trump wins by 4 points
Bernie Sanders: Trump wins by 1 point
Elizabeth Warren: Trump wins by 5 points
Joe Biden: Biden wins by 0.1 points
Kirsten Gillibrand: Trump wins by 4 points
Cory Booker: Trump wins by 1 points
Sherrod Brown: Trump wins by 0.5 points
Steve Bullock: Bullock wins by 0.5 points
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #3 on: November 11, 2018, 12:18:29 PM »
Unfortunately unless Democrats turn out 80-90% of their electorate, Trump wins no matter what
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2018, 12:20:25 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 11, 2018, 12:18:29 PM
Unfortunately unless Democrats turn out 80-90% of their electorate, Trump wins no matter what
Good thing none of your doomsday predictions turn out right.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: November 11, 2018, 07:26:34 PM »
I don't see it voting for anyone by more than 1% one way or the other, but Trump is favored overall.
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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« Reply #6 on: November 11, 2018, 11:32:36 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbedk on November 11, 2018, 10:30:28 AM
Quote from: Old School Republican on November 10, 2018, 08:35:23 PM
This is what I think:

Kamala Harris: Trump wins by 4 points
Bernie Sanders: Trump wins by 1 point
Elizabeth Warren: Trump wins by 5 points
Joe Biden: Trump wins by 0.1 points
Kirsten Gillibrand: Trump wins by 4 points
Cory Booker: Trump wins by .7 points
Sherrod Brown: Trump wins by 2 points
Steve Bullock: Bullock wins by .5 points



Switch Booker with Harris and this looks reasonable
I don’t know much about Harris, but this forum really seems to overestimate Booker.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2018, 08:53:53 PM »
Quote from: whitesox130 on November 11, 2018, 11:32:36 PM
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbedk on November 11, 2018, 10:30:28 AM
Quote from: Old School Republican on November 10, 2018, 08:35:23 PM
This is what I think:

Kamala Harris: Trump wins by 4 points
Bernie Sanders: Trump wins by 1 point
Elizabeth Warren: Trump wins by 5 points
Joe Biden: Trump wins by 0.1 points
Kirsten Gillibrand: Trump wins by 4 points
Cory Booker: Trump wins by .7 points
Sherrod Brown: Trump wins by 2 points
Steve Bullock: Bullock wins by .5 points



Switch Booker with Harris and this looks reasonable
I don’t know much about Harris, but this forum really seems to overestimate Booker.
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here2view
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« Reply #8 on: November 12, 2018, 09:07:48 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Funk on November 11, 2018, 12:20:25 PM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 11, 2018, 12:18:29 PM
Unfortunately unless Democrats turn out 80-90% of their electorate, Trump wins no matter what
Good thing none of your doomsday predictions turn out right.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #9 on: November 12, 2018, 10:43:36 PM »
After last week, I really am skeptical anybody could win FL against Trump unless something gets ugly for him.

Even a D+7 national environment wasn't enough to at least drag Bill Nelson and Andrew Gillum over the line. That says a lot. It also says a lot that the exit poll had Trump at 51% in the state while he was at 44% nationwide.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #10 on: November 12, 2018, 10:49:08 PM »
Quote from: Fremont Speaker ON Progressive on November 12, 2018, 10:43:36 PM
After last week, I really am skeptical anybody could win FL against Trump unless something gets ugly for him.

Even a D+7 national environment wasn't enough to at least drag Bill Nelson and Andrew Gillum over the line. That says a lot. It also says a lot that the exit poll had Trump at 51% in the state while he was at 44% nationwide.

I mean even in an R+7 environment Rick scott barely won by a point
Florida just defies the national environment.
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Snipee356
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« Reply #11 on: November 12, 2018, 10:52:43 PM »
The candidates won't have that big of an effect.

To the nearest .5 point:

Kamala Harris: Trump wins by 0.5 points
Bernie Sanders: Trump wins by 1 point
Elizabeth Warren: Trump wins by 1 points
Joe Biden: Virtual tie
Kirsten Gillibrand: Gillibrand wins by 0.5 points
Cory Booker: Trump wins by 1.5 points
Sherrod Brown: Brown wins by 0.5 points
Steve Bullock: Bullock wins by 1 point
Beto: Beto wins by 1 point
Baldwin: Baldwin wins by 0.5 points
Klobuchar: Virtual tie
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