How likely is this map?
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Author Topic: How likely is this map?  (Read 554 times)
Senator Spark
Spark498
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 28, 2018, 08:46:28 PM »
U.S. Presidential Election, 2020


Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Senator Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) - 269 EVs, 50.1%
President Donald J. Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Michael R. Pence (R-IN) - 269 EVs, 48.9%
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Comrade Funk
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E: -5.16, S: -5.91

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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2018, 08:52:03 PM »
I don't see how the Dems win Wisconsin, but not Pennsylvania in this scenario.
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Da2017
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2018, 08:54:19 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Funk on October 28, 2018, 08:52:03 PM
I don't see how the Dems win Wisconsin, but not Pennsylvania in this scenario.

African american turnout Milwaukee and Detriot is up, but get swamped in the big T. Dems got the turnout they needed in Phila in 2016.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2018, 08:56:55 PM »
Quote from: Da2017 on October 28, 2018, 08:54:19 PM
Quote from: Comrade Funk on October 28, 2018, 08:52:03 PM
I don't see how the Dems win Wisconsin, but not Pennsylvania in this scenario.

African american turnout Milwaukee and Detriot is up, but get swamped in the big T. Dems got the turnout they needed in Phila in 2016.
But the Philly suburbs would be even more Democratic I imagine.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2018, 09:19:02 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Funk on October 28, 2018, 08:56:55 PM
Quote from: Da2017 on October 28, 2018, 08:54:19 PM
Quote from: Comrade Funk on October 28, 2018, 08:52:03 PM
I don't see how the Dems win Wisconsin, but not Pennsylvania in this scenario.

African american turnout Milwaukee and Detriot is up, but get swamped in the big T. Dems got the turnout they needed in Phila in 2016.
But the Philly suburbs would be even more Democratic I imagine.

Also I feel like if rural whites in MI and WI aren't voting enough to give the states to Republicans, they probably won't be voting enough in PA either.
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Jersey Jimmy
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2018, 05:34:34 AM »
It's definitely the most likely electoral tie, but that isn't saying much.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2018, 01:09:55 PM »
How dies Trump lose Arizona and win Pennsylvania?
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Karpatsky
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2018, 01:21:31 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on October 29, 2018, 01:09:55 PM
How dies Trump lose Arizona and win Pennsylvania?

Sinema on the ticket, presumably.
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