You wake up to these results...

[MT Treasurer]

You know nothing about the outcome of the election but wake up the morning after election day to these results:

Montana: 48% Rosendale (R), 47.5% Tester (D, inc.)
Nevada: 49% Rosen (D), 47% Heller (R, inc.)

How did this happen, how does the world react, what does the Senate map look like, what is the new party composition of the House, are we all going to die, is this all just a bad dream, etc.?

[UncleSam]

The generic ballot closed at D+3, Trump campaigned heavily in Montana, and Rs generally performed better with late deciders than most expected them to. The senate is net R+4 in this scenario (Ds gain Nevada and Arizona Rs gain MO IN ND FL on top of MT) and Ds gain 10 seats in the House. AKA Mitch Mcconnell’s Wet dream scenario at this point.

[Xing]

I'd wonder why only Carter County, MT, and a single precinct in central Las Vegas in Clark County, Nevada had reported by the morning.

[MT Treasurer]

I'd wonder why only Carter County, MT, and a single precinct in central Las Vegas in Clark County, Nevada had reported by the morning.

Lol, well done. It’s probably only the most Republican, polarized, inelastic precinct in Garfield County with like 10 votes that has reported.

[IceSpear]

The world collapses into a gravitational singularity and creates a parallel universe where this result happens.

[Skill and Chance]

Trump had some secular improvement and the rural/exurb vs. urban/suburban divide was even stronger than expected.  

Senate: D gain NV and AZ, R gain MT, ND, IN, MO, and WV (Cruz wins a contentious TX recount)

House: Dems at 215 the morning after.  They flip 5 additional R-held California seats and WA-08 with final VBM results in December to barely take the majority.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Honestly this wouldn't surprise me. Heller is polling far better than expected and all the pundits still think he has a shot at victory. Rosendale isn't such a bad candidate either.

Honestly, anything from a 52-48 D majority to a 54-46 R Majority remains quite possible this year and we are fools if we try to be sure of more precision than that.

[Politician]

Republicans gained Senate seats and held the House, and only lost a few gocernorships. Republican best case.

[morgieb]

This probably means a neutral midterm and Republicans kept Democratic gains to a minimum. As for why it happened, perhaps foreign policy issues causing a rally around the flag effect?

[Beet]

Nothing happened. It looks about right. If anything, I don't expect this to happen because the odds of no surprises between now and November are very low.

[IceSpear]

I'd wonder why only Carter County, MT, and a single precinct in central Las Vegas in Clark County, Nevada had reported by the morning.

Lol, well done. It’s probably only the most Republican, polarized, inelastic precinct in Garfield County with like 10 votes that has reported.

Any chance Tester/Heller can win these precincts?

[Devout Centrist]

How the hell did Heller lose?!

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I would wonder how Ochiltree county voted

[Arkansas Yankee]

How the hell did Heller lose?!

That would not be the question.  It would be how the hell did Tester lose.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump made one stop in MT for Rosendale, since then, no GOPer has campaigned for him ever since, due to his flat campaign.

[Bidenworth2020]

I'd wonder why only Carter County, MT, and a single precinct in central Las Vegas in Clark County, Nevada had reported by the morning.

Lol, well done. It’s probably only the most Republican, polarized, inelastic precinct in Garfield County with like 10 votes that has reported.

Any chance Tester/Heller can win these precincts?

wait, UTJT and UTDH have opponents. Who would waste there time like that lmao

[IceSpear]

^lmao