LA-2019

[😥]

Will Edwards be re-elected if Senator Kennedy will run, and if not? If JBE wins, can it be considered a potential candidate for the presidential primaries of the 2020 GP or not?

My opinion is that JBE wins under any conditions and can be considered a real candidate in 2020

[Kingpoleon]

I bet JBE beats Landry in 2019 by four or five points. Fayard might manage to be elected Attorney General, too.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Edwards and Beshear wins, Tilt D

[Continential]

Hood will win

[KingSweden]

Hood will win

Wrong state

[wesmoorenerd]

Depends heavily on the candidate. Kennedy is easily the strongest candidate that could run, and I think he might be a slim favorite. Landry could also give JBE a run for his money. Anyone else, it's hard to say.

[Thunder98]

Hmmmmmm...

https://www.theadvocate.com/article_69b59956-9c01-11e8-94c6-d7d39799f644.html

[Canis]

Tossup Edwards is favored in pretty much any match up except against Kennedy

[smoltchanov]

For me - the most interesting part of 2019 elections in Louisiana will be not even governor's (or other statewide) campaign, though it will be, undoubtely, interesting, but - state legislative elections. About 1/3 of state legislature will be term-limited, so - there will be a lot of change. Especially - in SW part of the state (Acadiana and vicinity), where Democrats continue to hold 70-85% Trump seats with moderate-to-somewhat-conservative white incumbents. This part of state held Democratic tradition longer, then most other non-big-urban areas, but turned sharply right since Obama, and almost all white incumbents there are term-limited. I expect considerable gains for Republicans in this area, and, generally - considerable decrease in numbers for "white part" of Democratic caucus (almost to Alabama level, where now there is only 1 white Democratic state Senator from majority Black district, and 6 white state representatives, 5 of which retire or run for other offices this year). There is little initiative now for conservative (even moderate conservative) to run as a Democrat, with Republicans controlling legislature and chairmanships, and general "nationalisation" of even state legislative elections. Exception - relatively conservative Blacks in Black majority districts, but there are few such candidates (especially on economy, on social issues - to the contrary, many Louisiana's Black politicians are rather conservative)

[TheSaint250]

I didn't know this, but apparently the poll from SurveyUSA that had Kennedy up 51-37 was, according to Wikipedia (sorry if I missed that here ) a Kennedy-based internal.

Now, the fact that internal polling is being done raises some eyebrows, but him winning, even if it was just an internal poll, really might convince him to make the jump.

[Zaybay]

I still dont know why Kennedy would give up a senate seat just to run for governor. Maybe he doesnt like it at Washington, but thats a step down, IMO.

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

Hmmmmmm...

https://www.theadvocate.com/article_69b59956-9c01-11e8-94c6-d7d39799f644.html

Kennedy has got to be the flakiest Senator. That NN vote came out of nowhere, he was like good cop during the Zuck hearings, this stuff, etc. Seems like a cool guy though. 

[Rhenna]

Republicans are favored, Edwards is losing popularity.

[President Johnson]

Why should Kennedy give up a safe senate seat? I know he isn't up to 2022, but running makes just little sense at this point for him.

[Torrain]

Hmmmmmm...

https://www.theadvocate.com/article_69b59956-9c01-11e8-94c6-d7d39799f644.html

Hey, sorry to be a pain in the ass, can’t read the article because the sight is blocked (EU data protection law really screws smaller publications). Anything of particular note here?

[Thunder98]

Hmmmmmm...

https://www.theadvocate.com/article_69b59956-9c01-11e8-94c6-d7d39799f644.html

Hey, sorry to be a pain in the ass, can’t read the article because the sight is blocked (EU data protection law really screws smaller publications). Anything of particular note here?

Senator Kennedy is obsessed with Govenor John Bel Edwards over a Criminal Justice Reform law and is potentially running in 2019 against JBE.

[Torrain]

Hmmmmmm...

https://www.theadvocate.com/article_69b59956-9c01-11e8-94c6-d7d39799f644.html

Hey, sorry to be a pain in the ass, can’t read the article because the sight is blocked (EU data protection law really screws smaller publications). Anything of particular note here?

Senator Kennedy is obsessed with Govenor John Bel Edwards over a Criminal Justice Reform law and is potentially running in 2019 against JBE.

Thanks!
Interesting, as up until now, Kennedy didn’t really have a clear motivation to give up his seat and risk his career to run for governor. I wonder whether a strong Democratic performance in the midterms might scare him off. If he’d just wait until ‘23, he’d be the prohibitive favourite.

[MAINEiac4434]

JNK cannot stop running for office. If he wins in 2019 he’s gonna run against Trump in 2020.