OK-Gov Primary Election Results - Cornett and Stitt goes into a runoff

[Maxwell]

Who wins the GOP runoff, Stitt or Cornett?

Probably Stitt. He didn't do as well as I thought he would do but Cornett's strength in urban areas probably won't be enough to carry him to victory. Plus a lot of right-wing dark money is going to blow up Cornett in a lower turnout run-off (mainly because he supported the tax increase package that funded teacher pay increases).

Well then, Go Cornett!

Cornett would both be a great Governor (given his good track record as Mayor of Oklahoma City) and the stronger GE candidate. If Stitt gets the nod OK pretty much becomes a tossup.

Great governor would be a stretch but a vast improvement over Fallin for sure. Stitt is bad but idk he's just enough of a snake oil salesman to win probably.

Really?  I thought Edmondson might be able to beat Sitt.

he might, but though i am getting a bit more confident in Edmondson, it's still Oklahoma.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Who wins the GOP runoff, Stitt or Cornett?

Probably Stitt. He didn't do as well as I thought he would do but Cornett's strength in urban areas probably won't be enough to carry him to victory. Plus a lot of right-wing dark money is going to blow up Cornett in a lower turnout run-off (mainly because he supported the tax increase package that funded teacher pay increases).

Well then, Go Cornett!

Cornett would both be a great Governor (given his good track record as Mayor of Oklahoma City) and the stronger GE candidate. If Stitt gets the nod OK pretty much becomes a tossup.

Great governor would be a stretch but a vast improvement over Fallin for sure. Stitt is bad but idk he's just enough of a snake oil salesman to win probably.

Really?  I thought Edmondson might be able to beat Sitt.

he might, but though i am getting a bit more confident in Edmondson, it's still Oklahoma.

True and Scott Inman really was our best candidate (I maintain that Dan Boren would do about as well as Brad Carson in 2004 at best and quite possibly be another Bayh).

[Adam Griffin]

I'm filling in my national primary turnout map by county for Oklahoma and just noticed something about Oklahoma County in the two-way model:

GOP-Gov: 83057 (50.95%)
DEM-Gov: 79956 (49.05%)

I would assume that historically, OKC and the metro/suburban areas have been more GOP than the rest of the state (or at least the rural areas in terms of registration). However, I'm not sure to what extent the ancestral registration patterns still infiltrated OKC and/or how much of an effect the modern coalition has had on the county's numbers in recent years.

So I'm wondering: is this a first (in terms of closeness)? Have Democrats usually carried OKC in terms of primary turnout, or is this a substantial improvement?

[Devout Centrist]

I'm filling in my national primary turnout map by county for Oklahoma and just noticed something about Oklahoma County in the two-way model:

GOP-Gov: 83057 (50.95%)
DEM-Gov: 79956 (49.05%)

I would assume that historically, OKC and the metro/suburban areas have been more GOP than the rest of the state (or at least the rural areas in terms of registration). However, I'm not sure to what extent the ancestral registration patterns still infiltrated OKC and/or how much of an effect the modern coalition has had on the county's numbers in recent years.

So I'm wondering: is this a first (in terms of closeness)? Have Democrats usually carried OKC in terms of primary turnout, or is this a substantial improvement?

Well, I just took a cursory look at the 2008 President Primary; Democrats received ~48.35% of the vote that year vs 51.65% for Republican candidates.

Statewide, 335,054 votes were cast for Republican Presidential candidates; 417,207 were cast for Democratic Presidential candidates.

EDIT: In 2016, Democrats only received about 42% of the total statewide Presidential primary vote; in Oklahoma county, they received 43.5%.

In any case, looks like a substantial shift.

[Adam Griffin]

Well, I just took a cursory look at the 2008 President Primary; Democrats received ~48.35% of the vote that year vs 51.65% for Republican candidates.

Statewide, 335,054 votes were cast for Republican Presidential candidates; 417,207 were cast for Democratic Presidential candidates.

EDIT: In 2016, Democrats only received about 42% of the total statewide Presidential primary vote; in Oklahoma county, they received 43.5%.

In any case, looks like a substantial shift.

Ah, so basically a high watermark at minimum in recent years. Good to know.


EDIT: BTW, here's the county-level figures for 2016/2018 in OK, for those who are interested (and here's the national county-by-county map). Democrats flipped 6 counties in terms of turnout; GOP flipped none.

[Greedo punched first]

Libertarians Chris Powell and Rex Lawhorn go to a runoff. The map is very odd. Who wins the runoff?

Gold: Chris Powell
Blue: Rex Lawhorn
Green: Joe Exotic
Gray: Tie between Powell and Lawhorn
Black: No votes