What do you think of this Harris vs. Trump map?
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Author Topic: What do you think of this Harris vs. Trump map?  (Read 687 times)
IceSpear
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« on: July 07, 2018, 03:24:39 PM »
Just for fun since the election is literally 2.5 years away:



>30%: Lean
>50%: Likely
>90%: Safe
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Da2017
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« Reply #1 on: July 07, 2018, 03:39:28 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on July 07, 2018, 03:24:39 PM
Just for fun since the election is literally 2.5 years away:




>30%: Lean
>50%: Likely
>90%: Safe

I have Michigan lean. She should spike turnout. New Hampshire should be lean. Georgia be lean Trump.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: July 07, 2018, 06:56:47 PM »
I never know if you're serious or not with these threads, Icespear. But anyway, to me, it's pretty reasonable.
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Beet
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« Reply #3 on: July 07, 2018, 07:04:17 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on July 07, 2018, 06:56:47 PM
I never know if you're serious or not with these threads, Icespear. But anyway, to me, it's pretty reasonable.
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: July 07, 2018, 07:14:55 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 07, 2018, 07:07:48 PM
NH is not a Toss-up (especially when ME is Lean D) and GA should be moved to Lean R, but other than that it’s good. I also like VA being Safe D, many people still think Trump has a chance there.


Is this better?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: July 07, 2018, 07:37:55 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 07, 2018, 07:07:48 PM
NH is not a Toss-up (especially when ME is Lean D) and GA should be moved to Lean R, but other than that it’s good. I also like VA being Safe D, many people still think Trump has a chance there.

So I'm curious, why was NH so close in 2016? Hillary was the best fit and Trump was the worst fit, right? Tongue

It takes a very active imagination to make the math work on a Trump win in Virginia. Even with this swing map Hillary still did better than Obama, lol.
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Beet
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« Reply #6 on: July 07, 2018, 11:50:57 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on July 07, 2018, 07:37:55 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 07, 2018, 07:07:48 PM
NH is not a Toss-up (especially when ME is Lean D) and GA should be moved to Lean R, but other than that it’s good. I also like VA being Safe D, many people still think Trump has a chance there.

So I'm curious, why was NH so close in 2016? Hillary was the best fit and Trump was the worst fit, right? Tongue

Something was wrong with the angry NH women in 2016. First they give Bernie a 22 point landslide over Hillary, then they only give her a less than 0.5% win over pussy grabber. Not angry enough! Cheesy
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #7 on: July 07, 2018, 11:58:25 PM »
Quote from: Beet on July 07, 2018, 11:50:57 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on July 07, 2018, 07:37:55 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 07, 2018, 07:07:48 PM
NH is not a Toss-up (especially when ME is Lean D) and GA should be moved to Lean R, but other than that it’s good. I also like VA being Safe D, many people still think Trump has a chance there.

So I'm curious, why was NH so close in 2016? Hillary was the best fit and Trump was the worst fit, right? Tongue

Something was wrong with the angry NH women in 2016. First they give Bernie a 22 point landslide over Hillary, then they only give her a less than 0.5% win over pussy grabber. Not angry enough! Cheesy
Putin implanted microchips in their brains that caused them to vote for trump!
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Computer89
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« Reply #8 on: July 08, 2018, 12:40:48 AM »
I would make FL and WI lean R(FL close to likely as well)


MN and ME tossups

And NV lean D
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Da2017
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« Reply #9 on: July 08, 2018, 01:33:23 AM »
« Edited: July 08, 2018, 09:53:22 AM by Da2017 »
Quote from: Old School Republican on July 08, 2018, 12:40:48 AM
I would make FL and WI lean R(FL close to likely as well)


MN and ME tossups

And NV lean D

Wi should be toss up slight tilt Harris. Harris does not have baggage related to trade deal like Clinton. Against someone like Tim Kaine I'd agree Florida should lean repubican
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Nyssus
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« Reply #10 on: July 09, 2018, 05:36:18 PM »
I think this map is skewed a bit too much in Trump's favor. However, it's not terribly far off.
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