Bruce Rauner's margin of defeat
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  Bruce Rauner's margin of defeat
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Poll
Question: What margin will Rauner lose by?
#1
Wins re-election
 
#2
0-5 points
 
#3
5-10 points
 
#4
10-15 points
 
#5
15-20 points
 
#6
20+ points
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: Bruce Rauner's margin of defeat  (Read 772 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: August 02, 2018, 01:38:30 PM »

10-15 (my guess is 12), he's completely DOA at this point.
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FalloutBoy97
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« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2018, 01:53:37 PM »

13 or 14. I suspect his performance will closely mirror Kirk’s, but with more third party voting.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2018, 01:54:13 PM »

I'd feel more confident in a blowout if the Democratic candidate was someone other than JB, namely someone more trusted and scandal-free. For now, I think somewhere between 10 - 20 points will be the final result.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2018, 02:11:15 PM »

10 points like Corbett
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2018, 02:26:03 PM »

10-15
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Pericles
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« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2018, 02:49:23 PM »

Just under 20 points. Nowhere close to winning or even single digits.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2018, 02:54:40 PM »

About 15% I guess. I think Pritzker will win 55-40%.
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Cuca_Beludo
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« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2018, 03:05:04 PM »

I'd say 9 points but with the 3rd party republican running...

12,8%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: August 02, 2018, 04:05:17 PM »

Nah, Corbett margin, is typical in a state like IL 10 or so.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #9 on: August 02, 2018, 04:28:20 PM »

Almost certainly double digits.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #10 on: August 02, 2018, 05:48:39 PM »

I’m going to guess it will be similar to Blago’s re-election in 2006, where a third party candidate garners a good portion of the vote and makes the election look closer than it really is.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: August 02, 2018, 05:53:28 PM »

I'm going to put it at a solid 18 points right now. Every poll shows Rauner trailing by double digits. It's been forever since we've seen a poll of him above 35%, let alone 30%.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #12 on: August 03, 2018, 12:17:25 PM »

It’s a shame Biss didn’t win the nomination, he could’ve totally blown out Rauner. As it stands right now, I think Pritzker wins by 16.
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Donerail
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« Reply #13 on: August 03, 2018, 12:32:31 PM »

Pritzker: 54%
Rauner: 33%
McCann: 11%
Others: 2%

An utterly humiliating (and richly deserved) shellacking. Rauner flees into exile in Italy, and the Illinois GOP spends a generation in the wilderness.
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