Republicans’ Top Senate Recruits in 2020
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 15, 2024, 04:19:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Republicans’ Top Senate Recruits in 2020
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Republicans’ Top Senate Recruits in 2020  (Read 1470 times)
UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,270


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 27, 2018, 05:16:02 PM »
« edited: September 27, 2018, 05:47:17 PM by UWS »

I would say the following :

Alabama : former Senator Luther Strange or Congressman Bradley Byrne in this cycle’s most vulnerable Democratic-held seat

Arizona : former U.S. Representative Matt Salmon or either Cindy or Meghan McCain who are among the list of potential candidates for John McCain’s senate seat in 2020, which might help the GOP to possibly hold this seat in 2020 as it is progressively becoming a toss-up state (I mean maybe the legacy of McCain’s maverick reputation carried by either Cindy or Meghan could help the GOP to carry Arizona despite Trump’s unpopularity).

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Arizona,_2020#Potential

Michigan : maybe former Governor John Engler

New Hampshire : Governor Chris Sununu

New Jersey : former New Jersey Governor Christine Todd Whitman as Cory Booker might run for President in 2020, thus making this senate seat open unless Booker loses the Democratic primary race and drops out of the race before April (which is usually the candidate-filing deadline for a special election in New Jersey) and runs for senate re-election. I know Whitman will be 74 in 2020 but we have to remember that Phil Bredesen is 75 and yet he’s running in Tennessee. In fact, I had Whitman in mind as a potential top GOP senate recruit in New Jersey due to her pro-choice stance and her pro-same sex marriage stance and her green energy stance, which might help her to attract moderate/independent voters in a blue state like New Jersey. In addition, she was Governor of New Jersey for two terms and she was EPA Administrator under George W. Bush, which gives her very large background and experience in a potential senate bid.

Virginia : Congressman Scott Taylor

What would be your list of top Republican senate recruits in 2020?
Logged
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,695
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2018, 05:17:43 PM »

I would say the following :

Alabama : former Senator Luther Strange in this cycle’s most vulnerable Democratic-held seat


Lol, you think the guy who lost a primary to Roy Moore would be a strong recruit to run in 2020?
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2018, 05:19:23 PM »

I would say the following :

Alabama : former Senator Luther Strange in this cycle’s most vulnerable Democratic-held seat

Arizona : former U.S. Representative Matt Salmon or either Cindy or Meghan McCain who are among the list of potential candidates for John McCain’s senate seat in 2020, which might help the GOP to possibly hold this seat in 2020 as it is progressively becoming a toss-up state (I mean maybe the legacy of McCain’s maverick reputation carried by either Cindy or Meghan could help the GOP to carry Arizona despite Trump’s unpopularity).

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Arizona,_2020#Potential

Michigan : maybe former Governor John Engler

New Hampshire : former Senator Kelly Ayotte

New Jersey : former New Jersey Governor Christine Todd Whitman as Cory Booker might run for President in 2020, thus making this senate seat open unless Booker loses the Democratic primary race and drops out of the race before April (which is usually the candidate-filing deadline for a special election in New Jersey) and runs for senate re-election. I know Whitman will be 74 in 2020 but we have to remember that Phil Bredesen is 75 and yet he’s running in Tennessee. In fact, I had Whitman in mind as a potential top GOP senate recruit in New Jersey due to her pro-choice stance and her pro-same sex marriage stance and her green energy stance, which might help her to attract moderate/independent voters in a blue state like New Jersey. In addition, she was Governor of New Jersey for two terms and she was EPA Administrator under George W. Bush, which gives her very large background and experience in a potential senate bid.

Virginia : Congressman Scott Taylor

What would be your list of top Republican senate recruits in 2020?


HAHA.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2018, 05:19:29 PM »

I would say the following :

Alabama : former Senator Luther Strange in this cycle’s most vulnerable Democratic-held seat


Lol, you think the guy who lost a primary to Roy Moore would be a strong recruit to run in 2020?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,483
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2018, 05:19:31 PM »

NH, MI and NJ are tilt Dem, Frank Pallone or any Dem will beat Christie Todd Whitman. John Engler isn't gonna beat Gary Peters
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,766


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2018, 05:25:35 PM »

Alabama

I would go with either Martha Roby, Mo Brooks or Bradley Byrne

Arizona

Yep, probably Meghan McCain

Michigan

We don't have any good Candidate there!

New Jersey

Cross that Seat of the Table. I also don't think Booker is going to win the Democratic Nomination

Virginia

Doubtful Taylor runs if he loses in November. Same applies for Comstock.

New Hampshire

Governor Chris Sununu



Logged
UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,270


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2018, 05:29:36 PM »

I would say the following :

Alabama : former Senator Luther Strange in this cycle’s most vulnerable Democratic-held seat


Lol, you think the guy who lost a primary to Roy Moore would be a strong recruit to run in 2020?

Or maybe Bradley Byrne.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2018, 05:30:15 PM »

AL: Bradley Bryne
AZ: Matt Salmon or Ben Quayle
DE: Ken Simpler?
IL: Adam Kinzinger?
MA: Gabriel Gomez?
MI: Mike Rogers or Robert Young
MN: Norm Coleman
NH: Chris Sununu
NJ: Frank LoBiondo?
NM: John Sanchez?
RI: Huh
VA: Scott Rigell or Robert Hurt
Logged
UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,270


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2018, 05:33:12 PM »

Alabama

I would go with either Martha Roby, Mo Brooks or Bradley Byrne

Arizona

Yep, probably Meghan McCain

Michigan

We don't have any good Candidate there!

New Jersey

Cross that Seat of the Table. I also don't think Booker is going to win the Democratic Nomination


Virginia

Doubtful Taylor runs if he loses in November. Same applies for Comstock.

New Hampshire

Governor Chris Sununu





The question was not whether he would win the nomination (in fact I think Biden will win the nomination in 2020). But what I meant was it depends on whether Booker drops out of the Democratic race before or after April because if it’s after, he would not be able to be on the senate ballot since April is usually the candidate-filing deadline in New Jersey.
Logged
Perlen vor den Schweinen
kongress
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 973
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 27, 2018, 05:55:07 PM »

My thoughts on your picks:

Alabama: I think, as of now, Jones is going to be defeated. I doubt BIG LUTHER could win a primary, though. Not just because he lost to Roy Moore- there are plenty of higher-energy Alabama Republicans, who could also be much younger and stay in the Senate until they get carried out on a stretcher.

Arizona: Republicans have a lot of choices. Plenty of AZ Republicans would love to have this seat. McSally could run again if she were to lose.

Michigan: Engler probably doesn't want to run again. He also hasn't been Governor since 2003. I am guessing lots of reintroduction would need to be done. The best option might be some young State Senator? Some congressman? The problem with gerrymandering a state is that you don't have many options for having congresscritters that could consolidate a "wide base".

New Jersey: Similar story to Michigan with the long-out-of-office Governor. NJ has shown itself to be quite hostile to Republicans this cycle, and it's a very blue state anyway. Booker is popular, too. I don't see this being competitive whatsoever.

Virginia: Taylor might be out of office after a really stupid scandal. Even if he wins, he still has the stupid scandal on his shoulders. The GOP needs to run up the score in NoVA to win, which they are doing a very bad job of right now. Rural turnout for the GOP would need to be through the roof for the GOP to win, too. Could they do both? Probably not.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,795
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 27, 2018, 07:13:27 PM »

Strange, Ayotte and Taylor would all be horrible choices.
Logged
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,532
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2018, 07:04:39 PM »

The NJGOP has thrown Christie Whitman under the bus and then backed over her several times within the last month.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2018, 10:25:33 PM »

Lol at NJ and VA being talked about as competitive.

Anyway, for real plausible pickups:
AL: anyone with a pulse
NH: Chris Sununu
MN: Maybe Paulsen if he survives
MI: lol I don’t know, it’ll probably be some rich dude considering the poor shape of the party’s bench

Regrettably, Roy Moore still has a pulse. Wink
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2018, 10:29:35 PM »

MI: lol I don’t know, it’ll probably be some rich dude considering the poor shape of the party’s bench

Given that Shri Thanedar actually considered running in the GOP primary for governor this year, maybe the GOP recruits him in this race LOL.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,345
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2018, 04:58:31 PM »

Arizona- Kim Yee, Matt Salmon, Martha McSally
Michigan- Mike Kowall, Tim Walberg
Minnesota- Kurt Daudt, Pete Stauber
New Hampshire- Chris Sununu




Logged
Frodo
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,757
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2018, 05:16:52 PM »

Can (soon to be ex-)Congresswoman Barbara Comstock even win the Virginia GOP statewide primary in this day and age? 
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,817
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2018, 05:40:04 PM »

Alabama: Mo Brooks

Arizona: Doug Ducey

Delaware: Don't kid yourself, the Republicans have no bench here.

Illinois: Bruce Rauner, even when he loses this year, he'll be the strongest possible 2020 Senate candidate because of the money he can spend.

Massachusetts: Charlie Baker

Michigan: Justin Amash

Minnesota: Erik Paulsen...Yes he's going to lose reelection, but other than Pawlenty, he's Minnesota's best statewide candidate as a Republican.

New Hampshire: Chris Sununu

New Jersey: Jeffrey Chisea, especially if Booker isn't actually on the ballot

New Mexico: Susana Martinez

Oregon: Knute Buehler

Rhode Island: Allan Fung

Virginia: Barbra Comstock

Logged
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,412
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2018, 06:49:39 PM »

Alabama: Brooks or Roby. Can’t see Strange running for his seat back, and Sessions is done once he’s gone from the AG’s office.

Arizona: Cindy or Megan probably. Ducey is probably not running until his second term is over. Salmon or Biggs or Schweikert could possibly run.

Delaware: Nobody. It’s a blue state and Coons is heading straight for re-election. Can’t think of any prominent GOPers here.

Illinois: Kinzinger? Nobody’s beating Durbin anyways.

Kansas: Colyer would be a strong pick but he’s too closely tied to Brownback. Yoder is probably finished if he loses in the house and Marshall and Estes won’t be good picks. I doubt Pompeo will run.

Massachusetts: Nobody. Deep Blue state that is sending Markey or another Dem back. Baker isn’t leaving the governor’s mansion two years early.

Michigan: If James is getting crushed so will anyone else against Peters. Amash is too niche for the seat and Upton too moderate. Calley blew his career with the governor’s primary loss. I guess Walberg could give it a shot.

Minnesota: Emmer? He’ll possibly be the only MN Republican left in the house. Pawlenty probably won’t run again since he lost his primary.

New Hampshire: Sununu probably.

New Jersey: Nobody. The GOP slate consists of defeated candidates, people too old to run, and people tied to Christie. Runyan could make a comeback perhaps.

New Mexico: Nobody. Martinez and Pearce will be awful candidates.

Oklahoma: I guess Pruitt or Bridenstine could run.

Oregon: Buehler or Walden.

Rhode Island: Fung probably.

Virginia: Nobody. It’s deep blue now. I guess Ben Cline.

Logged
MycroftCZ
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 586


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 14, 2018, 07:20:17 PM »

AL: I feel like Luther Strange would be a good candidate. Rep. Martha Roby would be great too.

AZ: Matt Salmon is probably their best bet along with Ducey, and I wouldn't be surprised if Ward tries again lol

MI: Justin Amash, maybe... even though he's a little conservative for the state. They'll probably end up nominating some random Congressman, state Senator, or government official.

MN: Emmer? Probably the only good candidate they could have. Lewis is charismatic enough to make it competitive but he's also too conservative for the state.

NH: Sununu is obviously the best bet but New Hampshire's one of those states that any random state Senator could make it competitive.

NJ: I have no idea...

VA: Comstock, even if she's defeated.

Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 14, 2018, 07:52:13 PM »

I’m dreaming of Scott Taylor getting the GOP nod, he’d easily lose. Honesty just get Bob McDonnell, he won’t win, but he’s the best person for the GOP.
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,504
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 15, 2018, 12:36:19 AM »

AL: Bradley Bryne
AZ: Meghan McCain
MI: Justin Amash
MN: Norm Coleman
NH: Chris Sununu
NJ: Frank LoBiondo
VA: Huh
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,483
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 15, 2018, 04:13:45 AM »

The 2020 map is a presidential map, Shaheen, Warner, Peters and the MN seat aren't going done in a neutral Dem year
Logged
Dr. MB
MB
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,927
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 15, 2018, 08:48:59 PM »

Let's be real.

The only realistic R pickup opportunities are Alabama and maaaaaaaybe New Hampshire.

Alabama Bradley Byrne's gonna run obviously, and they might have a little more sense and actually go with him this time, but I wouldn't be surprised if a certain someone (or his special someone) showed up again.

Shaheen may retire in NH; if she does, Sununu obviously could run, and so could Frank Guinta.

Y'all can talk all you want about Comstock or whoever in Virginia, but we all know that she wouldn't stand a chance to KKKorey.

As for Arizona, whoever Ducey nominates after Kyl resigns will probably run and get the nomination.
Logged
LabourJersey
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 15, 2018, 09:17:44 PM »

There's no chance a Republican will win in New Jersey in 2020.

If Booker loses the Presidential primary or even gets selected VP, he'll run again and win comfortably. If he does win the 2020 nomination then I can see someone like Sheila Oliver, Steve Fulop or Don Norcross running (let's hope it isn't Norcross).

All the Republicans who matter in New Jersey are either old, tied to Christie, or have lost their seats in 2017 or will lose/ retire in 2018. Not to mention their bench will thin even more since Democrats are certain to pick up a seat or two more in the Assmebly in 2019.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.242 seconds with 12 queries.