Story of the night from Texas primaries: overperformance of women on the ballot
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  Story of the night from Texas primaries: overperformance of women on the ballot
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Author Topic: Story of the night from Texas primaries: overperformance of women on the ballot  (Read 648 times)
Jeppe
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« on: March 07, 2018, 08:53:00 AM »

In Texas, one of the strongest trends was the overperformance of women. In the Governor’s race, the latest poll had Lupe Valdez behind Andrew White, and facing a severe fundraising deficit, but she easily lead the field with 43% to Andrew White’s 27%

In Beto’s Senate race, Sema Hernandez, who didn’t appear to have much of a campaign besides tweeting basic policy planks on Twitter, garnered almost 25% of the vote and won quite a few counties.

In TX-07, Lizzie Fletcher and Laura Moser entered the run-off, blowing past Jason Westin and Alex Triantaphyllis, the latter who had raised the most money in the competition.

In TX-16 and TX-29, Veronica Escobar and Sylvia Garcia blew past their opposition to garner over 60% of the vote and avoid a run-off. Sylvia Garcia was outraised a lot by Tahir Javed, a Chuck Schumer backed candidate, but his campaign didn’t even get 30% of the vote.

In TX-21, expected frontrunner Joseph Kopser finished 2nd, despite having raised the most money and having the most national endorsements. Crowe, another serious Democrat finished third. However, it was Mary Wilson, a little known-Democrat with no fundraising or national support that ended up finishing 1st, with over 30% of the vote. Either she ran a stealth-campaign without any money, or the plurality of Democratic voters in TX-21  liked the sound of “Mary” when scanning the ballot.

In TX-21, Gina Ortiz Jones dominated the field, garnering over 40% of the vote. Expected frontrunner, Jay Hulings, who fundraiser the most, had endorsements from Steny Hoyer/Castro brothers/Blue Dogs/Congressional Hispanic Caucus, finished an embarrassing 4th, behind two other candidates that struggled with fundraising.

In TX-32, Lillian Salerno secured a run-off spot against star candidate Colin Allred. The strongest fundraiser of the bunch, Ed Meier, finished in 4th place.

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-03-07/texas-primary-female-candidates-have-a-strong-election-day

If the trend holds up nationwide, we could see women overperform expectations and win primaries against well-funded candidates like Jay Hulings, Joseph Kopser, and Ed Meier. It also proved that money doesn’t mean much in primaries like these, so other candidates that seem strong on paper might end up flopping and only garnering 15% of the vote, like Hulings, Triantaphyllis, and Meier.
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The Arizonan
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« Reply #1 on: March 07, 2018, 05:33:57 PM »

This is going to be the year that Texas sends its first Latinas to Congress. You'd think that at least one deep-blue/Hispanic district would have elected one years before now.
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Doimper
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« Reply #2 on: March 07, 2018, 05:47:48 PM »

Good stuff, but I'm not sure why Hernandez did so well. Did the Rio Grande counties just gravitate towards someone with a Hispanic last name?
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3 on: March 07, 2018, 08:07:57 PM »

I just about ROFL-ed when I saw how Politico was crowing about the high turnout in the D primary.  If Abbott or Cruz actually loses in November, I'll eat my hat, even if the D wave that the news media wants and expects actually happens (which I doubt it will).
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