CA-SEN 2018: Kevin de Leon wins CDP endorsement
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  CA-SEN 2018: Kevin de Leon wins CDP endorsement
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Poll
Question: What would have happened?
#1
De Leon wins in November
 
#2
De Leon loses in November
 
#3
De Leon fails to advance
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 26

Author Topic: CA-SEN 2018: Kevin de Leon wins CDP endorsement  (Read 778 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: February 26, 2018, 03:19:29 PM »

What would have happened if de Leon received the CA Democratic Party's endorsement? Delegates for Pat Harris and no endorsement prevented de Leon from reaching the 60% needed.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: February 26, 2018, 03:21:48 PM »

He would've made a heavily Feinstein-favored election into a very competitive one. I think he could have pulled it off. 2018 is a year of change, after all
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: February 26, 2018, 03:42:04 PM »

Would de Leon have received the endorsement if Pat Harris didn't run for the endorsement?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: February 26, 2018, 03:50:43 PM »

Idk, do you know where I could see a result of the actual endorsement vote? I look it up and all I get are stories about how Feinstein wasn't re-endorsed.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: February 26, 2018, 07:01:32 PM »
« Edited: February 26, 2018, 07:06:53 PM by ERM64man »

Idk, do you know where I could see a result of the actual endorsement vote? I look it up and all I get are stories about how Feinstein wasn't re-endorsed.
This article says neither candidate reached 60%.

Picture of the result. Pat Harris was likely a spoiler.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: February 26, 2018, 07:10:57 PM »

Even if every Pat Harris supporter voted for De León, he still wouldn't get 60%. And that's assuming that they'd all vote for De León if Pat Harris hadn't ran.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: February 26, 2018, 07:26:09 PM »

Even if every Pat Harris supporter voted for De León, he still wouldn't get 60%. And that's assuming that they'd all vote for De León if Pat Harris hadn't ran.
1508+149=1657, 1657÷2775≈0.597. Would this be rounded up to be 60% or not?
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #7 on: February 26, 2018, 07:35:30 PM »

It wouldn't make a difference. Feinstein has a lot of money to spend campaigning if she has to.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #8 on: February 27, 2018, 12:42:43 PM »

1657÷2775≈0.60. Votes for Pat Harris likely would have gone to de Leon. Pat Harris is to the left of Feinstein.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #9 on: February 27, 2018, 01:08:32 PM »

This result only helps Alison Hartson.
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YE
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« Reply #10 on: February 27, 2018, 01:23:05 PM »


Hartson is wasting her time. She's basically just some women who doesn't have the fundraising numbers to out an incumbent statewide and can only increase chances of a D vs R runoff. 
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #11 on: February 27, 2018, 03:16:38 PM »


Hartson is wasting her time. She's basically just some women who doesn't have the fundraising numbers to out an incumbent statewide and can only increase chances of a D vs R runoff.  
Exactly. Every Poll with Hartson shows Kalemkarian advancing. Randy Bryce in WI-01 raised far more than Hartson.
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #12 on: February 27, 2018, 10:02:15 PM »

de Leon already has no chance. Hartson has a 0% chance of advancing.
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