2016: Jeb Bush vs. Jim Webb

[FDB]

deleted

[NewYorkExpress]

Trump probably runs as an Independent if he isn't the nominee.

While he isn't on the ballot in every state, largely due to sore loser laws, he drains votes from Bush in enough states to hand the election to Webb.

It's also possible, but far less likely that Hillary runs as an independent if she isn't the nominee in 2016, creating a four-way race. Again, in that scenario, Hillary won't be on the ballot in every state because of sore loser laws, but she drains many votes from Webb as the more progressive optionn. In that scenario, the election is thrown to House, as everyone wins at least a few states, with the top three vote-getters being Bush, Hillary and Trump. The House elects Bush, while the Senate elects Bush's running mate (like Trump, I can easily see Bush picking Pence, though it's also possible he selects someone like Scott Walker, Tim Scott or Mia Love).

[bagelman]

In the scenario in which Trump doesn't run as an indie, he may give a non-endorsement to Webb (the Republicans won't win with that low-energy loser!). By November, again assuming circumstances have conspired to utterly lock Trump out of the race, everyone's forgotten about him at this point. However, Trump is right: the Republicans won't win with that low-energy loser. If Webb is lucky enough to prevent major indie challenges from the left, he would win an impressive looking map:

300-238 DEM

http://www.270towin.com/maps/X3YNp

[Dr. MB]

In the scenario in which Trump doesn't run as an indie, he may give a non-endorsement to Webb (the Republicans won't win with that low-energy loser!). By November, again assuming circumstances have conspired to utterly lock Trump out of the race, everyone's forgotten about him at this point. However, Trump is right: the Republicans won't win with that low-energy loser. If Webb is lucky enough to prevent major indie challenges from the left, he would win an impressive looking map:

300-238 DEM

I think Webb would have a shot at Colorado and Montana.

[NewYorkExpress]

In the scenario in which Trump doesn't run as an indie, he may give a non-endorsement to Webb (the Republicans won't win with that low-energy loser!). By November, again assuming circumstances have conspired to utterly lock Trump out of the race, everyone's forgotten about him at this point. However, Trump is right: the Republicans won't win with that low-energy loser. If Webb is lucky enough to prevent major indie challenges from the left, he would win an impressive looking map:

300-238 DEM

In this scenario either Trump or Hillary, or both are almost certainly going to run Indy if they don't advance out of the primaries.

[bagelman]

In the scenario in which Trump doesn't run as an indie, he may give a non-endorsement to Webb (the Republicans won't win with that low-energy loser!). By November, again assuming circumstances have conspired to utterly lock Trump out of the race, everyone's forgotten about him at this point. However, Trump is right: the Republicans won't win with that low-energy loser. If Webb is lucky enough to prevent major indie challenges from the left, he would win an impressive looking map:

300-238 DEM

In this scenario either Trump or Hillary, or both are almost certainly going to run Indy if they don't advance out of the primaries.

It's not 100% guaranteed - this is a scenario in which neither happen.

[Mr. Smith]

Webb/Duckworth
J. Bush/Ayotte

[Lechasseur]

Webb/Duckworth
J. Bush/Ayotte

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