What will the next early Dem primary polls probably look like?
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Author Topic: What will the next early Dem primary polls probably look like?  (Read 773 times)
History505
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« on: December 14, 2017, 05:23:44 PM »
List the order of who would be first to last and guess at the percentage.
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Grassroots
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« Reply #1 on: December 14, 2017, 05:44:30 PM »
Either Sherrod Brown or Kirsten Gillibrand will be leading.
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Sestak
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« Reply #2 on: December 14, 2017, 08:14:54 PM »
Gillibrand leading. Biden and Sanders close.

(Ok, maybe Sanders will be ahead of Gillibrand for now.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3 on: December 14, 2017, 08:30:20 PM »
« Edited: December 14, 2017, 08:47:32 PM by PittsburghSteel »
Quote from: Grassr00ts on December 14, 2017, 05:44:30 PM
Either Sherrod Brown or Kirsten Gillibrand will be leading.

More accurate
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4 on: December 14, 2017, 08:31:04 PM »
Sanders will lead but Gillibrand will be second.
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #5 on: December 14, 2017, 08:31:49 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on December 14, 2017, 08:31:04 PM
Sanders will lead but Gillibrand will be second.
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Cassandra
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« Reply #6 on: December 14, 2017, 08:57:53 PM »
At this point primary polls are name recognition tests. I'd guess something like

1. Sanders
2. Biden
3. Warren
4. Zuckerberg
5. Gillibrand
6. Booker
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Skunk
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« Reply #7 on: December 14, 2017, 09:03:41 PM »
Trump's attacks on Gillibrand have probably pushed her way up, she's probably narrowly behind Sanders and Biden but now ahead of Warren.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: December 14, 2017, 09:48:00 PM »
I really think you guys are overestimating how much regular voters pay attention to things like the Gillibrand-Trump flare-up.  This one episode isn't going to boost her name recognition *that* much.  She was previously at about 1-3% in the polls, and I don't think she'd be all *that* much higher than that in a poll taken today.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #9 on: December 14, 2017, 10:15:17 PM »
Sanders
Biden
Gillibrand
Warren
Booker
Harris
Zuckerberg
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Harlow
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« Reply #10 on: December 14, 2017, 10:30:22 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on December 14, 2017, 09:48:00 PM
I really think you guys are overestimating how much regular voters pay attention to things like the Gillibrand-Trump flare-up.  This one episode isn't going to boost her name recognition *that* much.  She was previously at about 1-3% in the polls, and I don't think she'd be all *that* much higher than that in a poll taken today.

I agree with this. Atlas is not the electorate. I think at most she'll be fourth behind Sanders/Biden/Warren.

On a related note, why does it seem like there's a lack of primary polling thus far compared to 2016's early primary polling? Am I just imagining things or is there a polling shyness due to 2016's perceived misses?
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Grassroots
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« Reply #11 on: December 14, 2017, 10:36:51 PM »
« Edited: December 14, 2017, 10:39:39 PM by Grassr00ts »
Quote from: Situationist on December 14, 2017, 08:57:53 PM
At this point primary polls are name recognition tests. I'd guess something like

1. Sanders
2. Biden
3. Warren
4. Zuckerberg
5. Gillibrand
6. Booker
Ok, its a bit odd for Sanders to run, he is really old and I don't think he wants to run after 2016.
Biden and Warren could run, so could Booker and Gillibrand.
But Zuckerberg... no. He's like a liberal Fiorina.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #12 on: December 14, 2017, 11:13:07 PM »
The big names first obviously. Biden and Warren (I don't think Sanders will run). Brown, Booker, Gillibrand, Harris, and others will be between 5 and 15% (too low name recognition). Once the debates and campaigns start other, smaller candidates will inevitably rise up in the polls.
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History505
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« Reply #13 on: January 15, 2018, 11:45:09 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2018, 11:46:42 PM by History505 »
Bump. We got more Dem primary polls now showing Biden and Sanders in 1st and 2nd.
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Sherrod Brown Shill
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« Reply #14 on: January 16, 2018, 02:25:13 PM »
Sherrod Brown - 724%

Kate Brown - 421%

Jerry Brown - 2%
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #15 on: January 17, 2018, 11:32:51 PM »
Biden and Sanders will essentially be tied for the lead, with Warren in a close third, and Booker/Gillibrand tied for a distant fourth.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #16 on: January 18, 2018, 12:01:17 AM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on January 17, 2018, 11:32:51 PM
Biden and Sanders will essentially be tied for the lead, with Warren in a close third, and Booker/Gillibrand tied for a distant fourth.
And this will remain how it is until late this year/early next year.
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