Will Walker fatigue become a real thing in 2018?

[History505]

Scott Walker is running for a third term in 2018, do you think voters of WI will want something new, or will Walker win again?

[fluffypanther19]

hot take: yes

[junior chįmp]

Wisconsin has had Walker fatigue since he stepped into office.
Alas, tho....he's finished

[MT Treasurer]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

[IceSpear]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

[KingSweden]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

[Sestak]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

[windjammer]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

^^^^^^

Wisconsin is progressively becoming a GOP leaning state.

[mcmikk]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

^^^^^^

Wisconsin is progressively becoming a GOP leaning state.

I wouldn't be so sure about this. Trump only won it by less than a single point.

[uti2]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

^^^^^^

Wisconsin is progressively becoming a GOP leaning state.

I wouldn't be so sure about this. Trump only won it by less than a single point.

Obama 2012 did better than Dukakis '88 in WI.

[KingSweden]

Yes, but in the same way Cuomo fatigue was a thing in '94 – he'd have lost because it's a wave more than anything. Fatigue isn't going to end him in itself.

This is a pretty good analogy

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

^^^^^^

Wisconsin is progressively becoming a GOP leaning state.

I wouldn't be so sure about this. Trump only won it by less than a single point.

Obama 2012 did better than Dukakis '88 in WI.

And Obama won it by 14 points in 2008, so it's a bit premature to say that it's "progressively becoming a GOP leaning state" just because Trump won it by less than one point.

[Suburbia]

Scott Walker will be hard to beat, he will win reelection by 6 points. Walker knows how to play political strategy in Wisconsin, he was just limited as a national candidate in 2016.

Walker will win again---he will win by 6 points.

But the race is Tossup/Tilt R.

[Xing]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

Basically this, but I wouldn't say that it will require a terrible year or a wave, a bad year for Republicans and a decent Democratic candidate could be enough.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

I find it hard to see Baldwin and Walker winning with solid margins in their reelections at the same time. If Baldwin has a strong showing, it probably means Walker is going down. With the likely environment... well, yeah.

Otherwise the people of Wisconsin will go down in history as being as stupid as the people of Iowa, as our dear leader named them.

[Suburbia]

I see Baldwin-Walker voters. They are the key to winning in Wisconsin. Basically, they are swing voters who like Walker and Baldwin and like divided government.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He trails a Democratic candidate by 5 points and WI is a blue wall state, its one of those states, very much like Iowa and Ohio that saw medicaid expansion progress under GOP leadership.

I see no way Walker withstanding the Baldwin voters who will take their frustration out on the GOP in WI for having it flip towards Trump at the last second due to the Johnson third party candidacy.

[uti2]

He trails a Democratic candidate by 5 points and WI is a blue wall state, its one of those states, very much like Iowa and Ohio that saw medicaid expansion progress under GOP leadership.

I see no way Walker withstanding the Baldwin voters who will take their frustration out on the GOP in WI for having it flip towards Trump at the last second due to the Johnson third party candidacy.

You do realize that Johnson also ran in 2012, right?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, but except for women and minorities, Trump receives high approvals among white males.  But, still, it was Hillary's state to lose.

[Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

I tend to believe this.  Lots of Governors have difficulties winning 3rd terms, but that is counterbalanced by third-term seekers often having weak opponents. 

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

If Walker loses, it won't be because of "Walker fatigue" but because the national environment is terrible for Rs and 2018 is a Democratic wave.

I tend to believe this.  Lots of Governors have difficulties winning 3rd terms, but that is counterbalanced by third-term seekers often having weak opponents. 

This wouldn't just be Walkers 3rd term -- it'll be the 4th time Walker is on the ballot. I feel like some people have to be tired of Walker by now, but who knows.

[Wiz in Wis]

Considering that there are currently... "looks at notepad..." infinity Democrats lining up to run against him, yes, I think people are a bit tired.

[mcmikk]

Considering that there are currently... looks at notepad... infinity Democrats lining up to run against him, yes, I think people are a bit tired.