Maxed out GOP leaning seats

[Strudelcutie4427]

I'm gonna try to draw as many republican seats as possible just to see how many there could be. I wont be taking into account VRA and other factors so this is solely for entertainment purposes.

Starting with my homestate:


1. R+6
2. D+6

When you have a state as evenly balanced as NH (R+0.04) it makes more sense to give each party a safe seat than to gamble with two close ones as they do now. NET R GAIN: +1

Maine is pretty similar in that it is a competitive state (D+3) with only 2 districts, so its easier to just shore up one for each party. The Coastal Strip for the Dems and the Interior for the GOP



1. D+9
2. R+5

Massachusetts is a bit ridiculous but I managed to squeeze a few R+ districts out of it, although unlike the other two, this will definitely never happen. NET R GAIN: +2



1. D+19
2. R+2
3. D+14
4. D+15
5. D+23
6. D+6
7. D+31
8. D+7
9. R+1

Rhode Island will lose its 2nd district in a few years, but I was able to make it tantalizingly close for the Republicans to target now that Providence is completely in the 1st



1. D+20
2. D+1

[Strudelcutie4427]

Off to the west. Again I couldve drawn 3 GOP leaning seats in Nevada, but I'd rather play it safe and split it 2-2 NET GAIN: R+1



1. D+15
2. R+7
3. R+7
4. D+9


New Mexico is interesting given that most of the state functions essentially as East Texas with the exception of hippy Santa Fe and Central Albuquerque NET GAIN: R+1 (Although that NW seat would be swingy like East Arizona)

1. R+3
2. R+9
3. D+21




Oregon is surprisingly a republican state if you only remove the hipster mecca Portland. NET R GAIN: +2

1. D+15
2. R+6
3. D+22
4. R+7
5. R+2

[Strudelcutie4427]

Maryland much like Oregon is very republican outside of the Beltway and Baltimore. I was able to draw 4 republican leaning districts for a gain of R+3 on a much cleaner map than the abomination they have now

1. R+11
2. R+1
3. D+37
4. D+40
5. R+5
6. R+6
7. D+24
8. D+26



Minnesota is odd in that it has 3 Republican leaning seats with a Democrat incumbent and 1 Democrat leaning seat with a Republican incumbent. This is as close as I could get to a hypothetical 6-2 Republican map which would result in R+3, but given that this is Minnesota, who the hell knows

1. R+7
2. R+4
3. R+6
4. D+21
5. D+22
6. R+4
7. R+11
8. R+5



Here's one I was thinking was a total crap shoot to attempt but it is possible to draw 7 clean looking R+10 or greater districts in Alabama, so R+1

1. R+14
2. R+13
3. R+11
4. R+15
5. R+18
6. R+14
7. R+16

[Strudelcutie4427]

In Tennessee I was able to make a solid 8-1 map by carving up Nashville into looking almost like Berlin under the 4 allied zones. Memphis would be too hard to crack given that it's ultra dem and stuck in the corner of the state. R+1

1. R+28
2. R+19
3. R+19
4. R+18
5. R+13
6. R+15
7. R+13
8. R+17
9. D+24

[Dr. MB]

In Tennessee I was able to make a solid 8-1 map by carving up Nashville into looking almost like Berlin under the 4 allied zones. Memphis would be too hard to crack given that it's ultra dem and stuck in the corner of the state. R+1

1. R+28
2. R+19
3. R+19
4. R+18
5. R+13
6. R+15
7. R+13
8. R+17
9. D+24

I've done it:

Green district: R+5
Purple: R+8
Yellow: R+5
Teal: R+6
Gray: R+8
Blue: R+23
Red: R+19
Lavender: R+20
Light Blue: R+28

[cinyc]

I take it you are not taking into account minority-majority districts that are required to be drawn by the Voting Rights Act in this exercise?

[Strudelcutie4427]

I take it you are not taking into account minority-majority districts that are required to be drawn by the Voting Rights Act in this exercise?

Yeah I’m just ignoring the VRA and Communities of internet just to see how many would be possible. Both just for fun and to get a good measure on Democrat self packing

Also, here is Wisconsin in a pretty good 6-2 map. Obviously there are no ways to safely crack Madison and Milwaukee but WI-3 became a decently R-leaning seat. Another R+1



1. R+5
2. D+18
3. R+4
4. D+25
5. R+13
6. R+8
7. R+6
8. R+6

Nebraska currently has a 3-0 Republican advantage, but Omaha will need to be cracked to avoid a NH-1 type situation soon, especially given that the district gets an electoral vote


1. R+12
2. R+7
3. R+23

Colorado is able to be split 5-2 easily by packing most of the liberals into a Denver-West Aurura district (1) and a Boulder-West Adams-NE Jefferson district (2) R+1


1. D+25
2. D+14
3. R+6
4. R+9
5. R+5
6. R+4
7. R+5

[muon2]

WI has changed so much politically in the last 10 years that even a neutral map looks like a Pub gerry. Here's a map I put together in the summer of 2012. It splits no counties and provides the smallest possible split to Milwaukee to equalize population. I've listed the deviation, Obama '08 result, and '08 PVI. Finally I note the 2012/2016 PVI.



CD 1: -2794  Obama 55.6% D+2.6;   R+1.0
CD 2: +38     Obama 69.3% D+16.4; D+16.8
CD 3: -533    Obama 57.1% D+4.3;   R+1.9
CD 4: +1374 Obama 71.4% D+18.3; D+21.5
CD 5: +901   Obama 42.8% R+10.5; R+10.5
CD 6: +1829 Obama 46.5% R+6.6;   R+11.5
CD 7: -671    Obama 55.5% D+2.6;   R+5.8
CD 8: -142    Obama 53.9% D+0.9;   R+6.8

The neutral map flips PVIs from 6-2 Dem to 6-2 Pub in just 2 cycles. It's also interesting to see that the two solid Dem CDs became more Dem. The Milwaukee suburbs in CD 5 stayed the same. Everything else swung Pub.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

It's possible getting 8r-4d in NJ.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Arizona


Phoenix


Despite Arizona trending left, almost all the Democrats in the state are found either in Phoenix or Tucson, making a 7-2 map easy to draw. R+2

1. R+8
2. R+9
3. D+12
4. R+12
5. R+10
6. R+11
7. D+24
8. R+9
9. R+5

Iowa is close to being although not quite there yet a 4-0 republican state. Given that there is a super republican seat and 3 swing ones, I opted to shore up 1 and 3 and to make district 2 a vote sink in Eastern Iowa


1. R+4
2. D+5
3. R+4
4. R+9

I was originally going for a 5-5 split here but i actually forgot how many i had at one point so it ends up being a very slightly 6-4 in the republicans favor, though it did get ugly closer to seattle


Seattle


1. R+1
2. D+12
3. R+3
4. R+12
5. R+8
6. R+1
7. D+31
8. Even (R+0.03)
9. D+23
10. D+14

[muon2]

If you want to gamble, try this version of IA. Whole counties, max deviation under 1400, all Pub PVI, but Obama carried them all in 2008.



CD 1 (blue): deviation -724; Obama 56.6%; PVI R+2.4
CD 2 (green): deviation -363; Obama 53.4%; PVI R+3.5
CD 3 (purple): deviation +1337; Obama 51.1%; PVI R+2.8
CD 4 (red): deviation -251; Obama 54.5%; PVI R+1.8

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If you want to gamble, try this version of IA. Whole counties, max deviation under 1400, all Pub PVI, but Obama carried them all in 2008.



CD 1 (blue): deviation -724; Obama 56.6%; PVI R+2.4
CD 2 (green): deviation -363; Obama 53.4%; PVI R+3.5
CD 3 (purple): deviation +1337; Obama 51.1%; PVI R+2.8
CD 4 (red): deviation -251; Obama 54.5%; PVI R+1.8

What would a good 3R-1D look like?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Iowa gerrymander
Iowa gerrymander

[Strudelcutie4427]

Does anyone have or is able to do an Ohio? I had 10-1 before it crashed in NE Ohio. Idk why but OH along with CA are the only ones that crashmy computer

[Kamala]

Does anyone have or is able to do an Ohio? I had 10-1 before it crashed in NE Ohio. Idk why but OH along with CA are the only ones that crashmy computer

I have a 15-1 Ohio on my Ridiculous Redistricing thread.

[Nyvin]

I'm taking it Singletxguyforfun has some issue with hippies...

[Strudelcutie4427]

I'm taking it Singletxguyforfun has some issue with hippies...

Yeah I’m not a fan. I don’t so much mind stoner hippies, more the urban pretentious douchy hipster you often see at a Starbucks. From what I’ve seen there are a ton of them in Portland, OR for no apparent reason

[Strudelcutie4427]

Finally got Florida done in what could be an 18-9 Republican map. R+4


S Florida



1. R+22
2. R+10
3. R+10
4. R+7
5. R+10
6. R+11
7. D+9
8. R+5
9. R+7
10. D+10
11. R+11
12. R+5
13. R+5
14. D+13
15. R+8
16. R+8
17. R+11
18. R+7
19. R+13
20. D+14
21. R+1
22. D+17
23. D+22
24. D+24
25. R+4
26. D+11
27. D+17

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

[Strudelcutie4427]

Thanks to the massive swing towards Trump last fall, I was able to draw a pretty solid 10-4 Republican map. I could've gone for an 11-3 but i dont think it would be worth it to have a bunch of R+1 districts scattered around the state



Detroit



1. R+10 (UP and Northern LP)
2. R+10 (West Central)
3. R+6 (Grand Rapids)
4. R+8 (East Central)
5. D+12 (Flint and Lansing)
6. R+4 (Southwest)
7. R+8 (South)
8. R+6 (Southeast)
9. R+5 (NW Wayne, Western Oakland)
10. R+8 (The Thumb)
11. R+5 (Macomb)
12. D+33 (Detroit)
13. D+19 (Ann Arbor, Western Wayne)
14. D+27 (Southern Oakland, Northern Wayne)

[Strudelcutie4427]

Here's Virginia in a much safer 7-4 map than the 6-5 one right now.

1. Potomac Delta and Western Chesapeake R+10
2. Virginia Beach, Chesapeake City, Eastern Shore R+4
3. Tidewater Cities D+18
4. Richmond Area and Northern Tidewater D+13
5. Southern Fairfax, Prince William, North Central R+3
6. Charlottesville, Lynchburg, Central Appalachia R+9
7. South Central R+8
8. Arlington, Western Fairfax D+17
9. Southern Appalachia R+17
10. Loudoun, Northern Appalachia R+7
11. Alexandria, Eastern Fairfax, Eastern P.W. D+18

[krazen1211]

Richmond should be connected to Dumfries in the 4th district.

[Strudelcutie4427]

At long last I got Ohio without it crashing my computer. (It nearly did but it was unfrozen after a few hours while I was out with the guys) I was able to get a solid 13-3 Republican map here, and as usual, I could've chopped Akron-Youngstown and Columbus but I always elect to have likely or safe seats over toss ups

1. NE Ohio R+4
2. Cleveland D+33
3. Southern/Western Cleveland Suburbs R+5
4. Elyria to Mansfield R+5
5. Akron and Canton Suburbs R+12
6. Akron, Canton, Youngstown D+8
7. Ohio River/WV Border R+13
8. North and East Columbus Suburbs R+7
9. South and West Columbus Suburbs R+11
10. Columbus D+15
11. Lorain to Toledo R+6
12. Toledo to Dayton/NW Ohio R+10
13. Toledo, Lima, to Logan County  R+7
14. Dayton and Suburbs R+12
15. East Cincy/Warren and Clermont Counties R+6
16. West Cincy and Butler County R+7

[Strudelcutie4427]

Atlanta Area


A 11-3 Georgia map is easy, Just create 2 titanium D seats in Atlanta and be carve up Macon and Augusta

1. North R+31
2. West Cobb to AL Border R+16
3. Columbus, West Central R+8
4. Southeast R+10
5. Southern Dekalb, Rockdale D+32
6. Southern ATL suburbs to Macon R+10
7. Atlanta and Clayton County D+37
8. Northern Dekalb, NW Gwinnett D+6
9. East Cobb, Cherokee County R+12
10. North Fulton, Forsyth, NE Gwinnett R+17
11. Eastern Exurbs R+14
12. Augusta and NE R+12
13. Savannah and SE R+9
14. Macon, East Central R+10



Kentucky with a pretty solid 6-0 Republican map by chopping up Louisville
1. Western KY, Bowling Green R+20
2. Western Louisville, Owensboro, Central KY R+14
3. Downtown Louisville to Cincy Suburbs R+11
4. Inner Cincy Suburbs, Lexington R+11
5. Coal Country and Lexington R+21
6. Central Louisville to SE KY R+16