Predict Trump's %age in the Puerto Rico primary

[Mr. Morden]

Suppose you knew for certain that Trump will still be president in 2020, and that he'll be on the primary ballot in Puerto Rico.  Conditional on that, what % of the vote do you predict that he'll get in the Puerto Rico primary?

And will his %age there be lower than it is in any of the 50 states or DC?  Last time (according to Atlas) he got 13.80% in the Puerto Rico primary, but 13.77% in DC.  He got higher than that in every state though, not counting states like Colorado and Wyoming which don't have Republican primary popular votes.

[Del Tachi]

77%

[MAINEiac4434]

-77%

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Is there an "uncommitted" option?

[Mr. Morden]

Is there an "uncommitted" option?

I don't think so, but looking at the results posted here:

http://presidenciales16.ceepur.org

I'm inferring that getting ballot access is pretty easy, since even Jim Gilmore managed it, and also it looks like write ins are allowed.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If he's running unopposed, probably 60% or so. If there is at least one challenger, likely no more than 20%.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Is there an "uncommitted" option?

I don't think so, but looking at the results posted here:

http://presidenciales16.ceepur.org

I'm inferring that getting ballot access is pretty easy, since even Jim Gilmore managed it, and also it looks like write ins are allowed.

Without any opponent, I'd say 90%.
With serval opponents, I'd say 40%.

[NewYorkExpress]

55% against Paul/Amash
70% against Kasich
30% against Cruz
30% against Rubio
50% against Sasse
75% against Cuban

[TheSaint250]

0%

He won't make it to 2020.

[NewYorkExpress]

0%

He won't make it to 2020.

Republicans in the Senate aren't going to convict him in an impeachment trial. So, unless Trump and Pence both decline to run in 2020 (very possible), one or both will be on the ballot in 2020.