Chance of all 205 Clinton CD's voting Democrat again in 2020.

[Bidenworth2020]

discuss. I say about 30% chance

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

50-50.

[GlobeSoc]

If impeachment does not occur and Trump seeks reelection, 90% chance.

Else, 20%

[Keep cool-idge]

If impeachment does not occur and Trump seeks reelection, 90% chance.

Else, 20%

Really I will bet money that Oregon fourth congressional district will red in 2020 it was the closest this election.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

If impeachment does not occur and Trump seeks reelection, 90% chance.

Else, 20%

Really I will bet money that Oregon fourth congressional district will red in 2020 it was the closest this election.

It will probably go more safely Democrat in 2020 actually.

[GGover]

30% sounds about right, I doubt Trump has done anything to become more popular in those congressional districts.

If impeachment does not occur and Trump seeks reelection, 90% chance.

Else, 20%

Really I will bet money that Oregon fourth congressional district will red in 2020 it was the closest this election.

Trump didn't do significantly better than Romney in 2012. The election was only so close in the 4th district because of third party growth and Clinton's unpopularity, not because Republicans are becoming more popular. Also, the Democratic congressman Pete DeFazio won reelection by a wide margin.

It was close in 2016, but as long as Democrats nominate someone better than Clinton, the district is probably out of reach for Republicans.

[Keep cool-idge]

30% sounds about right, I doubt Trump has done anything to become more popular in those congressional districts.

If impeachment does not occur and Trump seeks reelection, 90% chance.

Else, 20%

Really I will bet money that Oregon fourth congressional district will red in 2020 it was the closest this election.

Trump didn't do significantly better than Romney in 2012. The election was only so close in the 4th district because of third party growth and Clinton's unpopularity, not because Republicans are becoming more popular. Also, the Democratic congressman Pete DeFazio won reelection by a wide margin.

It was close in 2016, but as long as Democrats nominate someone better than Clinton, the district is probably out of reach for Republicans.

That's somewhat true but outside  Eugene everything trended and had yuge swings to trump just read up on Nova greens Oregon county series mainly Douglas county and coos county.

[Cynthia]

Not high, in my opinion.

[UncleSam]

About 20%

Somewhat more likely than that all Clinton counties will stay Blue, but still very unlikely. 205 is a lot of places ( some represented by Republicans) for things to go wrong

[AGA]

Small chance. Clinton won some staunchly Republican districts such as IL-6 that could come back home in the next election if Democrats don't focus so much on educated voters so much. Also, there are so many districts that she won that it would seem odd if not one flips.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I think some of the Never-Trump Republican districts will revert to normal form now that Trump is less shocking.  I would be stunned if the Democratic nominee won districts like TX-7 and TX-32 again.