Demographics as destiny

[King of Kensington]

Where did "demographics as destiny" (more educated whites + minorities + millennials) play out, and where did it fail spectacularly? 

[Ronnie]

It failed in the sense that it did not capture the lack of enthusiasm for Clinton among minorities, and underestimated the electoral clout of angry white people, in the Midwest.

[King of Kensington]

I suppose it worked in Virginia.  Failed spectacularly in North Carolina - obviously the "liberal transplants in the Research Triangle has radically transformed the state"  hypothesis hasn't played out.

[Nyvin]

I suppose a worry of mine is that the Democratic vote will continue to concentrate into large urban areas.

That can play out to their advantage in the long term, especially considering Texas.    But in the short term it can lead to more elections were they're winning the popular vote with good marins, but falling short again on the electoral college.

[pppolitics]

I suppose it worked in Virginia.  Failed spectacularly in North Carolina - obviously the "liberal transplants in the Research Triangle has radically transformed the state"  hypothesis hasn't played out.

That has more to do with voter suppression than anything.

And let's not forget, North Carolina threw out its Republican governor and elected a Democratic governor.