Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - West Virginia
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Poll
Question: Rate West Virginia and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Jim Justice (D)		  
#9
Bill Cole (R)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 45

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Author Topic: Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - West Virginia  (Read 1604 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: November 02, 2016, 07:00:50 PM »


Toss-Up, another tough call. For now, I'll say Justice 49-47, though Cole could definitely win. In three days, I'll be making a final thread with all of our predictions, and will regularly update it if any changes occur. As a heads up, I'll lock voting on every thread on November 8th at midnight, so make sure you get your final predictions in before then!

Current Balance of Power:
Republicans: 30
Democrats: 18
Independents: 1

Ratings:



Safe D: Delaware (Jack Markell), Oregon (Kate Brown), Washington (Jay Inslee)
Likely D: Montana (Steve Bullock)
Lean D: Missouri (Jay Nixon), North Carolina (Pat McCrory)
Toss-Up: Indiana (Mike Pence), New Hampshire (Maggie Hassan), Vermont (Peter Shumlin)
Lean R: -
Likely R: -
Safe R: North Dakota (Jack Dalrymple), Utah (Gary Herbert)

Predictions:



Vermont: Minter -> Scott

Past winners:

John Carney (D-DE)
John Gregg (D-IN)
Chris Koster (D-MO)
Steve Bullock (D-MT)
Colin Van Ostern (D-NH)
Roy Cooper (D-NC)
Doug Burgum (R-ND)
Kate Brown (D-OR)
Gary Herbert (R-UT)
Phil Scott (R-VT)
Jay Inslee (D-WA)

Previous Threads: (You can still vote in these!)
Delaware Indiana Missouri Montana New Hampshire North Carolina North Dakota Oregon
Utah Vermont Washington
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
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E: 3.00, S: -0.41

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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 07:24:49 PM »
Likley D
Jim Justice 53-44-3
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Figueira
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 08:05:45 PM »
Tossup, Tilt Justice.
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2016, 12:49:47 AM »
Safe R, as I've said from day 1.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2016, 12:51:45 AM »
Tilting to the Democrats to be honest. West Virginia will hopefully have the largest ticket split.

Trump-Justice 2016. Lmao.

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ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2016, 05:43:52 PM »

Agree with something like this.
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morgieb
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E: -7.87, S: -8.70

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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2016, 10:09:53 PM »
Tough, because Democrats dramatically overpoll in West Virginia. I'll still say Justice wins but could really go either way.
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Maxwell
mah519
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E: -6.45, S: -6.96

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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 10:36:25 PM »
Toss-up - Cole by 1 or 2.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2016, 10:52:42 PM »
How is Justice ahead? HE'S POLLING AT 39%! Probably 90%+ of the undecideds are enthusiastic Trump voters.

Yeah yeah, "muh right kind of Democrat." Only 5 more days of this farce...
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Cashew
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2016, 04:54:21 PM »
Undecideds will break heavily R. Forgot about this race for a while but changing my prediction in light of new polls.
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WVdemocrat
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2016, 07:48:10 PM »
Safe D. Not even a contest. Justice has had this thing locked up from the get go. The margin of victory be damned, he was always gonna win this seat from day one.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2016, 10:59:06 PM »
Quote from: Angelo on November 04, 2016, 07:48:10 PM
Safe D. Not even a contest. Justice has had this thing locked up from the get go. The margin of victory be damned, he was always gonna win this seat from day one.

Saving.
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windjammer
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« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2016, 03:04:57 PM »
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2016, 12:32:12 AM »


Smiley
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2016, 01:26:10 AM »
I wish we had more than SurveyMonkey to go by, but I guess I'll change my prediction to Cole 49-47.
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Figueira
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2016, 09:02:30 AM »
Switched my prediction to Cole because I think the polling error is more likely to be on his side.
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WVdemocrat
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« Reply #16 on: November 12, 2016, 11:21:07 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 05, 2016, 10:59:06 PM
Quote from: Angelo on November 04, 2016, 07:48:10 PM
Safe D. Not even a contest. Justice has had this thing locked up from the get go. The margin of victory be damned, he was always gonna win this seat from day one.

Saving.

I'd like to collect my reward now
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ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« Reply #17 on: November 13, 2016, 06:54:09 PM »
Quote from: Angelo on November 12, 2016, 11:21:07 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 05, 2016, 10:59:06 PM
Quote from: Angelo on November 04, 2016, 07:48:10 PM
Safe D. Not even a contest. Justice has had this thing locked up from the get go. The margin of victory be damned, he was always gonna win this seat from day one.

Saving.

I'd like to collect my reward now

Congrats, you get the acknowledgement of predicting something right on an internet forum.
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