If Texas goes to Clinton...

[GeorgiaModerate]

Several polls have shown Clinton within striking distance in Texas, and it's not impossible that she could pull an upset there, though it's certainly more likely that Trump will win the state.  Thinking about this, I was playing around with the EV calculator and realized that if the Hispanic vote becomes as reliably Democratic as the African-American vote, the Republicans will have lost the Presidency for the foreseeable future.  The baseline assumption is that it becomes enough to flip Texas to D, which would also ensure FL, AZ, and NV.  With those states in hand, even this is a D win (272-266):

And no, I don't think this is going to happen this year, and it may not even be all that likely anytime soon; but if present trends continue, it might be a possibility in a few cycles.

[Kalimantan]

If dems win based on hispanics, you have to include colorado in their column.

[Ronnie]

The sharp Hispanic trend towards the Democrats this cycle is what is giving me pause on declaring that a generic R would be favored against Clinton in 2020.  Unless Republicans quickly shift their messaging to bring more Hispanics into the fold, they might face an uphill battle in the electoral college for some time.

Of course, a lot will depend on whether Clinton is actually a good president.  We will see, I guess.

[Indy Texas]

Can we call this Montezuma's Revenge?

[Maxwell]

lol RE-ALIGNMENT FOLKS

[Figueira]

I'd like to congratulate President Charlotte Clinton-Mezvinsky on her surprisingly tight re-election.

[IceSpear]

Trump will win Texas, but it's worth noting that Hillary has a bigger lead in states worth 278 EVs than Trump has in Texas.

[Bojack Horseman]

The ghost of Ann Richards lives.