Top 5 states likely to switch sides from 2012 result. Sleeper states.
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Author Topic: Top 5 states likely to switch sides from 2012 result. Sleeper states.  (Read 469 times)
User157088589849
BlondeArtisit
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« on: October 18, 2016, 06:53:43 PM »
To flip Republican
1. Iowa
2. Ohio
3. Nevada
4. Colorado
5. Florida

Sleeper state - Maine

To flip Democrat
1. North Carolina
2. Arizona
3. Georgia
4. Indiana
5. Missouri

Sleeper State - Alaska
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HisGrace
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2016, 09:34:07 PM »
I'd put Alaska third behind NC and Arizona. After Iowa and Ohio Trump doesn't have much of a chance in any Obama states so it doesn't really matter how they're ranked.
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Figueira
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2016, 09:40:05 PM »
1. Iowa
2. Ohio
3. Florida
4. Colorado
5. New Hampshire

Sleeper state: Minnesota (not really happening though)

1. North Carolina
2. Arizona
3. Alaska
4. Missouri
5. Texas

Sleeper state: Utah
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Holmes
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2016, 09:42:00 PM »
D -> R

Iowa
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Michigan

Sleeper: New Hampshire

R -> D

North Carolina
Arizona
Georgia
Alaska
South Carolina

Sleeper: Texas
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2016, 09:44:24 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2016, 09:52:15 PM by @realJohnEwards »
(Percentage is Dem chance)

Dem states:

(ME-02) 60%
Iowa 60%
Ohio 60%
Nevada 65%
Florida 70%
Wisconsin 90%

Sleeper: Delaware 95%

Rep states:

North Carolina 70%
(NE-02) 60%
Arizona 60%
Georgia 35%
Texas 30%
Alaska 25%

Sleeper: Idaho 10% or NE-01 10% (or Utah 65%)
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2016, 09:46:23 PM »
D-->R:
1. Iowa
(ME-02)
2. Ohio
3. Florida
4. Pennsylvania
5. Nevada

Sleeper: Maine

R-->D:
1. North Carolina
(NE-02)
2. Arizona
3. Alaska
4. Georgia
5. Missouri

Sleeper: Montana
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2016, 11:20:19 PM »
Top five to switch Republican (not counting ME-02):

1. Iowa
2. Ohio
3. Florida
4. Nevada
5. Colorado

Top five to switch Democrat (not counting NE-02):

1. North Carolina
2. Arizona
3. Georgia
4. Alaska
5. Missouri

Sleeper state: South Carolina
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alomas
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2016, 07:10:22 AM »
« Edited: October 19, 2016, 07:33:38 AM by alomas »
To flip D:
1. North Carolina
2. Arizona
3. Georgia
4. Alaska
5. Missouri

To flip R:
1. Ohio
2. Iowa
3. Florida
4. Nevada
5. Pennsylvania
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2016, 07:26:09 AM »
According to 538's poll's only forcast:

To Flip Republican:
Iowa: 41.9%
Ohio: 35.6%
Nevada: 25%
Florida: 24.5%
New Hampshire: 14%

To Flip Democratic:
North Carolina: 72.2%
Arizona: 55%
Alaska: 34.8%
Georgia: 32.4%
Missouri: 25.2%
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