Senate Democrats to Hillary Clinton: Don't Forget About Us!
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  Senate Democrats to Hillary Clinton: Don't Forget About Us!
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Author Topic: Senate Democrats to Hillary Clinton: Don't Forget About Us!  (Read 452 times)
Frodo
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« on: September 11, 2016, 01:14:03 PM »

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Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/senate-democrats-urge-clinton-to-step-up-227997#ixzz4JyLg6fRj
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2016, 01:22:13 PM »

Honestly it looks like the Republicans have a good shot at keeping the Senate, or at least holding the Dems to a "Manchin Majority (50-50)". They are at least slightly favorites in OH/FL/AZ/MO/NC/IA/LA. If they sweep those, then Dems have to carry all of NV/WI/IL/IN/NH/PA to get a real majority (51-49). If they lose any two of those, they won't have a majority at all.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2016, 01:24:08 PM »

I'd say Democrats are still modest favorites to take back the senate (albeit narrowly), but she has every reason to assist down ballot Democrats. If Democrats can make a lot of gains this year, they can limit the extent of the gains Republican can make in 2018.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2016, 01:35:07 PM »

This is honestly my prediction right now, that the GOP has a 51-49 majority. I'm more concerned about this than Hillary losing, which I still don't see happening.
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Figueira
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« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2016, 01:38:23 PM »

Yeah, Clinton really needs to help Senate Democratic candidates. At the very least, get a bare majority, although the more the better (for SCOTUS reasons, and to make things a little easier in 2018 and 2020).
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2016, 02:57:35 PM »

If Dems don't get a majority this year, when will they really have a shot? 2018 is a midterm and heavily stacked against them, so they'll probably only take further losses then. 2020 doesn't really have a lot of oppotrtunities for them except Colorado and maybe Iowa and North Carolina, and 2022 is a sixth-year election, where the party of the incumbent president typically does poorly.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: September 11, 2016, 02:58:36 PM »

It should be clear by now that Clinton will have zero coattails.

Lol
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #7 on: September 11, 2016, 03:00:56 PM »

Yeah, I do worry this'll come out like '72 did for Congressional Republicans despite Nixon's landslide.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #8 on: September 11, 2016, 03:02:24 PM »

It should be clear by now that Clinton will have zero coattails.

The Generic Congressional poll seems to be tracking her poll numbers, and it's been more or less consistently pro-Democratic for over a year now. Senate races could be trickier and Democrats could lose out on some otherwise winnable races if the election is closer, though.

It's not about "coattails" as much as straight vs split ticket voting. People don't have to fall in love with the candidate to vote straight ticket. Party polarization has led to more people picking a party instead of a candidate and that shows no signs of truly changing this cycle. Obviously this won't be proven until November 8th, but you are mistaken if you think a Clinton win will not reverberate downballot. For as disappointed people are about Clinton, Trump is even worse and has not painted Republicans in a good light this cycle. Their party's favorables are awful right now.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #9 on: September 11, 2016, 03:13:48 PM »

No one really knows how the Senate will turn out, the polls have been going up and down all over the place.    The Dems will pick up "some" seats is about all we can say for sure.
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