Why is the race tightening?

[Ljube]

Oh lord...maybe wait to count your chickens before they hatch. Both Suffolk and Monmouth came out with polls last week showing Hillary up +7 and your really talking about an October surprise?

Suffolk and Monmouth are obvious junk pollsters.

[LLR]

Just wait until next week, when Trump's Phoenix speech is factored into the polls.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Even if he loses, I just hope that it's close so that it helps Republicans keep the Senate and election night isn't boring.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Just wait until next week, when Trump's Phoenix speech is factored into the polls.

[Phony Moderate]

Were the election being held this Tuesday then I don't think it could be counted as a shock nor as a polling disaster if Trump won. The most favorable national polls for Clinton have her ahead by 5-7, the most favorable national polls for Trump have him ahead by 1-3. Literally no polls had Truman ahead in 1948, hence the sense of shock and polling disaster.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Clinton's support goes up and down, but Trump's had a hard ceiling so far that he's yet to really break through. I doubt he's getting a lot of undecideds when November comes around.

But Clinton losing support seems to be the main reason it's tightened.

Also, the media is going to try to further tear Hillary down so they can have their "horse race". I'd expect this in any election from here on out in which there is a clear frontrunner.

[heatcharger]

Clinton's support goes up and down, but Trump's had a hard ceiling so far that he's yet to really break through. I doubt he's getting a lot of undecideds when November comes around.

But Clinton losing support seems to be the main reason it's tightened.

Also, the media is going to try to further tear Hillary down so they can have their "horse race". I'd expect this in any election from here on out in which there is a clear frontrunner.

This. Let me remind you folks that Trump has not hit 45% in any 3/4-way national poll that wasn't CVOTER, Gravis, or LA Times. In fact, his highest point in non-junk polls is 44%, which was in a CNN/ORC poll conducted immediately after the RNC.

I think it's laughable that some people (Democrats included) think the race has tightened significantly based on some landline-only Emerson polls.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

I think it's laughable that some people (Democrats included) think the race has tightened significantly based on some landline-only Emerson polls.

Based on Monmouth, IBD, Fox News, and indirectly on ABC (the realeased only favorability ratings, but it's been good indication so far; they probably realease the numbers tomorrow).