Presidential Ratings and Predictions - New Mexico
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - New Mexico
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Poll
Question: Rate New Mexico and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
#8
Clinton
 
#9
Trump
 
#10
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 112

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - New Mexico  (Read 2657 times)
Sorenroy
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Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

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« Reply #25 on: September 25, 2016, 06:38:19 PM »


Jesus f-cking Christ, this garbage again? Do you think that anyone wants to read this?

What's your problem?
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ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
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Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« Reply #26 on: September 29, 2016, 07:23:49 PM »

Safe D vs Likely D, which wins?
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peterthlee
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« Reply #27 on: October 12, 2016, 09:30:32 AM »

Let's not kid ourselves.
Safe D-Solid
Clinton 55-31-14
Of the 14% who vote for 'others', Johnson will take around 13-13.6%
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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« Reply #28 on: October 29, 2016, 04:32:08 PM »

Shifting from Lean D to Likely D since Clinton has consolidated Millennial support, and it looks like Johnson's numbers have been sliding South even in NM, and Clinton appears to be the main beneficiary.

I still think there is a good chance that Johnson closes at around 10% here, Stein picks up 2% in a state where Greens do better than many other parts of the country, and these factors combine to keep Clinton under a 10% margin.
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #29 on: October 29, 2016, 04:40:48 PM »

Early voter poll numbers are showing that Johnson's support basically doesn't exist so far. I'll be shocked at this point if he does much better than he did in '12.
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